Saf Holland Se Stock Price Prediction
| SFHLF Stock | USD 19.79 7.94 67.00% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
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Oversold | Overbought |
SAF Holland SE stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of SAF Holland shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of SAF Holland's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of SAF Holland and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from SAF Holland's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with SAF Holland SE, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether pink sheet price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of SAF Holland based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The SAF stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on SAF Holland over a specific investment horizon. Using SAF Holland hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of SAF Holland SE from the perspective of SAF Holland response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in SAF Holland. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in SAF Holland to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying SAF because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
SAF Holland after-hype prediction price | USD 19.79 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
SAF |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of SAF Holland's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
SAF Holland After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of SAF Holland at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in SAF Holland or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of SAF Holland, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
SAF Holland Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting SAF Holland's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on SAF Holland's historical news coverage. SAF Holland's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.28 and 28.30, respectively. We have considered SAF Holland's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
SAF Holland is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of SAF Holland SE is based on 3 months time horizon.
SAF Holland Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as SAF Holland is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading SAF Holland backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with SAF Holland, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.08 | 8.51 | 0.00 | 0.20 | 0 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
19.79 | 19.79 | 0.00 |
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SAF Holland Hype Timeline
SAF Holland SE is at this time traded for 19.79. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.2. SAF is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 1.08%. %. The volatility of related hype on SAF Holland is about 4550.8%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 19.59. About 59.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.87. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. SAF Holland SE last dividend was issued on the 20th of May 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next expected press release will be within a week. Check out SAF Holland Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.SAF Holland Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to SAF Holland's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict SAF Holland's future price movements. Getting to know how SAF Holland's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how SAF Holland may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ALSN | Allison Transmission Holdings | (1.33) | 11 per month | 0.28 | 0.22 | 1.82 | (1.44) | 15.70 | |
| LAZR | Luminar Technologies | (0.09) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 11.61 | (9.41) | 33.57 | |
| LEA | Lear Corporation | (0.33) | 9 per month | 1.50 | (0.03) | 2.10 | (2.31) | 7.50 | |
| BWA | BorgWarner | 0.95 | 8 per month | 2.02 | (0.03) | 2.08 | (2.80) | 8.71 | |
| ALV | Autoliv | (0.40) | 9 per month | 1.14 | 0.1 | 2.13 | (1.97) | 6.51 | |
| FOXF | Fox Factory Holding | (0.45) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 3.75 | (6.82) | 32.57 | |
| LKQ | LKQ Corporation | 0.42 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 1.98 | (2.06) | 5.64 | |
| QS | Quantumscape Corp | (0.29) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 5.65 | (5.41) | 16.20 | |
| MBLY | Mobileye Global Class | (0.29) | 12 per month | 2.40 | 0.02 | 4.80 | (3.89) | 15.31 | |
| INVZ | Innoviz Technologies | (0.06) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 5.06 | (9.09) | 20.05 |
SAF Holland Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine SAF price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SAF using various technical indicators. When you analyze SAF charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About SAF Holland Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of SAF Holland stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as SAF Holland SE, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of SAF Holland based on analysis of SAF Holland hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to SAF Holland's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to SAF Holland's related companies. Story Coverage note for SAF Holland
The number of cover stories for SAF Holland depends on current market conditions and SAF Holland's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that SAF Holland is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about SAF Holland's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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SAF Holland Short Properties
SAF Holland's future price predictability will typically decrease when SAF Holland's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of SAF Holland SE often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential SAF Holland's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SAF Holland's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 45.4 M |
Check out SAF Holland Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.
Complementary Tools for SAF Pink Sheet analysis
When running SAF Holland's price analysis, check to measure SAF Holland's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SAF Holland is operating at the current time. Most of SAF Holland's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SAF Holland's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SAF Holland's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SAF Holland to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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