Southwest Georgia Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

SGB -- USA Stock  

USD 24.00  1.00  4.33%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Southwest Georgia Financial Corporation which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Southwest Georgia hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Southwest Georgia Financial Corporation from the prospective of Southwest Georgia response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Southwest Georgia over a specific investment horizon. Also please take a look at Southwest Georgia Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Southwest Georgia After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline

Southwest Georgia Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

September 24, 2018
24.00
Current Value
24.15
After-hype Price
Target Odds
  
29.22
Upside
Southwest Georgia is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Southwest Georgia is based on 1 month time horizon.

Southwest Georgia Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.40% 1.69% 0.15%  0.15% 2 Events / Month6 Events / MonthIn a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
24.0024.150.62%
444.74% 

Southwest Georgia Hype Timeline

On 24 of September Southwest Georgia Financial Corporation is traded for 24.00. This company has historical hype elasticity of 0.15 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.15. Southwest Georgia Financial Corporation is estimated to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 24.15. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 444.74%. The price escalation on the next news is estimated to be 0.62% where as daily expected return is at this time at 0.4%. The volatility of related hype on Southwest Georgia is about 437.82% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 23.85. The company reported last year revenue of 21.34 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 4.05 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 21.26 M. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in a few days.
Also please take a look at Southwest Georgia Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Southwest Georgia Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
The PNC Financial Services Group 0.28 6 per month 0.00 (0.20)  1.96 (1.34)  3.45 
BBT Corporation(0.89) 3 per month 0.00 (0.24)  1.45 (1.40)  3.95 
Fifth Third Bancorp(1.04) 5 per month 0.00 (0.16)  2.36 (1.77)  3.41 
First Republic Bank(1.36) 3 per month 0.00 (0.35)  1.08 (2.19)  3.47 
First Republic Bank 0.13 1 per month 0.00 (0.59)  0.40 (1.13)  1.95 
CullenFrost Bankers(0.14) 5 per month 0.00 (0.39)  1.14 (1.35)  3.66 
First Horizon National Corporation 0.04 5 per month 0.00 (0.41)  1.23 (1.64)  2.65 
Western Alliance Bancorporation(0.66) 5 per month 0.81 (0.049)  3.22 (1.40)  5.14 
First Bancorp 0.00 4 per month 0.00 (0.29)  0.87 (0.28)  2.72 
Bank Ozk(0.22) 3 per month 0.82 (0.16)  2.39 (1.32)  2.92 

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Also please take a look at Southwest Georgia Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
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