Shinsei Bank Limited Price Prediction

SKLKFDelisted Stock  USD 1,000,000  0.00  0.00%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Shinsei Bank's share price is below 30 as of 19th of April 2024. This usually implies that the pink sheet is becoming oversold or undervalued. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Shinsei Bank Limited, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

23

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Shinsei Bank Limited stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Shinsei Bank shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Shinsei Bank's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Shinsei Bank and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Shinsei Bank's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Shinsei Bank Limited, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether pink sheet price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Shinsei Bank based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Shinsei stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Shinsei Bank over a specific investment horizon. Using Shinsei Bank hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Shinsei Bank Limited from the perspective of Shinsei Bank response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Shinsei Bank. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Shinsei Bank to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Shinsei because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Shinsei Bank after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 1000000.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in industry.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Shinsei Bank's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
637,504637,5041,100,000
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1,937,8401,937,8401,937,840
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1,000,0001,000,0001,000,000
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Shinsei Bank. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Shinsei Bank's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Shinsei Bank's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Shinsei Bank Limited.

Shinsei Bank After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Shinsei Bank at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Shinsei Bank or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Shinsei Bank, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Shinsei Bank Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Shinsei Bank's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Shinsei Bank's historical news coverage. Shinsei Bank's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1,000,000 and 1,000,000, respectively. We have considered Shinsei Bank's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
1,000,000
1,000,000
Downside
1,000,000
After-hype Price
1,000,000
Upside
Shinsei Bank is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Shinsei Bank Limited is based on 3 months time horizon.

Shinsei Bank Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Shinsei Bank is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Shinsei Bank backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Shinsei Bank, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
1,000,000
1,000,000
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Shinsei Bank Hype Timeline

Shinsei Bank Limited is at this time traded for 1,000,000. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Shinsei is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Shinsei Bank is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1,000,000. About 60.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.49. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Shinsei Bank Limited last dividend was issued on the 30th of March 2022. The entity had 1:10 split on the 27th of September 2017. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week.
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in industry.

Shinsei Bank Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Shinsei Bank's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Shinsei Bank's future price movements. Getting to know how Shinsei Bank's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Shinsei Bank may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
BNMDFBanca Mediolanum SpA 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.08  0.00  0.00  10.99 
BPOPOPopular 0.00 0 per month 0.71 (0.07) 1.68 (1.52) 3.85 
ASB-PEAssociated Banc Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.06) 1.68 (1.86) 6.09 
NBNKFNordea Bank Abp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.10) 2.62 (3.16) 13.90 
WTFCMWintrust Financial Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.72 (0.06) 1.20 (1.33) 3.87 
FRCBFirst Republic Bank 0.00 0 per month 13.01  0.16  66.67 (26.67) 204.23 
BCHBanco De Chile 0.01 10 per month 1.40  0.06  2.66 (2.72) 8.30 
BSBRBanco Santander Brasil(0.02)10 per month 0.00 (0.16) 2.32 (3.26) 8.35 
CFBCrossFirst Bankshares(0.22)10 per month 0.00 (0.07) 3.70 (4.47) 11.08 
BBDOBanco Bradesco SA 0.03 8 per month 0.00 (0.14) 3.09 (4.12) 18.27 
CFBKCF Bankshares 0.11 7 per month 0.00 (0.22) 1.57 (1.86) 6.43 
KBKB Financial Group 0.14 11 per month 2.21  0.09  6.77 (4.35) 15.32 
PVBCProvident Bancorp(0.02)6 per month 0.00 (0.24) 3.01 (3.22) 10.45 
HFBLHome Federal Bancorp 0.13 9 per month 0.00 (0.15) 3.92 (3.87) 11.57 
MGYRMagyar Bancorp 0.30 10 per month 0.00 (0.07) 2.99 (2.48) 9.53 
PBHCPathfinder Bancorp(0.21)7 per month 0.00 (0.08) 4.11 (4.77) 14.77 

Shinsei Bank Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Shinsei price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Shinsei using various technical indicators. When you analyze Shinsei charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Shinsei Bank Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Shinsei Bank stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Shinsei Bank Limited, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Shinsei Bank based on analysis of Shinsei Bank hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Shinsei Bank's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Shinsei Bank's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Shinsei Bank

The number of cover stories for Shinsei Bank depends on current market conditions and Shinsei Bank's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Shinsei Bank is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Shinsei Bank's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Shinsei Bank Short Properties

Shinsei Bank's future price predictability will typically decrease when Shinsei Bank's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Shinsei Bank Limited often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Shinsei Bank's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Shinsei Bank's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding205.2 M
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in industry.
You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..

Other Consideration for investing in Shinsei Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in Shinsei Bank Limited check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Shinsei Bank's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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