iPath US Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

STPP -- USA Etf  

USD 30.70  0.00  0.00%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with iPath US Treasury Steepener ETN which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With iPath US hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of iPath US Treasury Steepener ETN from the prospective of iPath US response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on iPath US over a specific investment horizon. Also please take a look at iPath US Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

iPath US After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline

iPath US Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

October 19, 2018
30.70
Current Value
30.70
After-hype Price
Target Odds
  
32.29
Upside
iPath US is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of iPath US Treasury is based on 1 month time horizon.

iPath US Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.06% 0.53% 0.00%  0.01% 0 Events / Month1 Events / MonthWithin a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
30.7030.700.00%
0.00% 

iPath US Hype Timeline

iPath US Treasury Steepener ETN is at this time traded for30.70. This company stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. iPath US Treasury Steepener ETN is projected not to react to the next headline with price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of 0.0%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small where as daily expected return is at this time at 0.06%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to iPath US is about 301.14%%. The volatility of related hype on iPath US is about 301.14% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 30.69. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be within a week.
Also please take a look at iPath US Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

iPath US Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
UBS ETRACS Mthly Py 2xLvg Closed End ETN 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  1.41 (2.60)  4.36 
Market Vectors Double Short Euro ETN 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  2.01 (1.13)  6.73 
ProShares Short Euro 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
ProShares UltraShort Australian Dollar 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
The Coca Cola Company 0.20 6 per month 0.00  0.00  1.31 (1.38)  3.20 
3M Company(1.30) 4 per month 0.00  0.00  1.56 (1.71)  5.49 
International Business Machines Corporation 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
Alcoa Corporation 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
Verizon Communications(0.66) 6 per month 1.07  0.00  1.34 (1.76)  3.30 
The Home Depot 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 

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Also please take a look at iPath US Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolio or rebalance existing positions based on mean-variance optimization algorithm.
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