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Smead Value Price Prediction Breakdown

SVF
SVFAX -- USA Fund  

USD 44.94  2.52  5.94%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Smead Value Fund Class A Shar, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Using Smead Value hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Smead Value Fund Class A Shar from the perspective of Smead Value response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The Smead price prediction module also provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Smead Value over a specific investment horizon. Additionally, take a look at Smead Value Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
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Smead Value After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
    
  Expected price to next headline 

Smead Value Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Current Value
44.94
February 29, 2020
44.94
After-hype Price
49.35
Upside
Smead Value is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Smead Value Fund is based on 3 months time horizon.

Smead Value Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.26  1.47  0.00   0.05  0 Events / Month0 Events / MonthWithin a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
44.9444.940.00 
0.00  

Smead Value Hype Timeline

Smead Value Fund is at this time traded for44.94. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.05. Smead Value Fund Class A Shar is anticipated not to react to the next headline with price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of 0.0%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small where as daily expected return is at this time at -0.26%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to Smead Value is about 726.92%%. The volatility of related hype on Smead Value is about 726.92% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 44.89. The company last dividend was issued on 12/19/2019. Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the next anticipated press release will be within a week.
Additionally, take a look at Smead Value Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Smead Value Related Hype Analysis

Additionally, take a look at Smead Value Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.
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