Swedish Match Ab Price Prediction
| SWMAYDelisted Stock | USD 10.57 0.00 0.00% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
44
Oversold | Overbought |
Swedish Match Ab stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Swedish Match shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Swedish Match's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Swedish Match and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Swedish Match's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Swedish Match Ab, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether pink sheet price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Swedish Match based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Swedish stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Swedish Match over a specific investment horizon. Using Swedish Match hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Swedish Match Ab from the perspective of Swedish Match response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Swedish Match. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Swedish Match to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Swedish because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Swedish Match after-hype prediction price | USD 10.57 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Swedish |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Swedish Match's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Swedish Match After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Swedish Match at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Swedish Match or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Swedish Match, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Swedish Match Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Swedish Match's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Swedish Match's historical news coverage. Swedish Match's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.57 and 10.57, respectively. We have considered Swedish Match's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Swedish Match is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Swedish Match Ab is based on 3 months time horizon.
Swedish Match Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Swedish Match is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Swedish Match backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Swedish Match, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 20 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 20 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
10.57 | 10.57 | 0.00 |
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Swedish Match Hype Timeline
Swedish Match Ab is at this time traded for 10.57. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Swedish is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Swedish Match is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.57. The company last dividend was issued on the 10th of November 2022. Swedish Match Ab had 5:1 split on the 12th of May 2021. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 20 days. Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.Swedish Match Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Swedish Match's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Swedish Match's future price movements. Getting to know how Swedish Match's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Swedish Match may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CAKE | The Cheesecake Factory | 0.19 | 11 per month | 1.62 | 0.03 | 3.99 | (2.81) | 11.03 | |
| BH | Biglari Holdings | 13.94 | 9 per month | 1.81 | 0.15 | 6.85 | (2.56) | 13.78 | |
| DIN | Dine Brands Global | (0.48) | 11 per month | 2.02 | (0.03) | 2.95 | (3.53) | 8.57 | |
| BJRI | BJs Restaurants | 1.82 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 4.18 | (3.89) | 11.04 | |
| PEB | Pebblebrook Hotel Trust | 0.34 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.10 | (3.08) | 7.47 | |
| STKS | One Group Hospitality | (0.35) | 9 per month | 3.54 | 0.06 | 6.35 | (5.24) | 30.48 | |
| AVRTF | Avarone Metals | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| RHP | Ryman Hospitality Properties | (1.99) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 2.03 | (2.12) | 6.36 |
Swedish Match Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Swedish price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Swedish using various technical indicators. When you analyze Swedish charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Swedish Match Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Swedish Match stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Swedish Match Ab, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Swedish Match based on analysis of Swedish Match hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Swedish Match's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Swedish Match's related companies. Story Coverage note for Swedish Match
The number of cover stories for Swedish Match depends on current market conditions and Swedish Match's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Swedish Match is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Swedish Match's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Swedish Match Short Properties
Swedish Match's future price predictability will typically decrease when Swedish Match's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Swedish Match Ab often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Swedish Match's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Swedish Match's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.5 B |
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation. Note that the Swedish Match Ab information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Swedish Match's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.
Other Consideration for investing in Swedish Pink Sheet
If you are still planning to invest in Swedish Match Ab check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Swedish Match's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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