Synchrony Financial Stock Price Prediction
| SYF Stock | USD 40.47 0.06 0.15% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
47
Oversold | Overbought |
Synchrony Financial stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Synchrony Financial shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Synchrony Financial's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Synchrony Financial and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Synchrony Financial's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Synchrony Financial, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Synchrony Financial's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.18) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.72 | EPS Estimate Current Year 5.57 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.83 | Wall Street Target Price 45.41 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Synchrony Financial based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Synchrony stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Synchrony Financial over a specific investment horizon. Using Synchrony Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Synchrony Financial from the perspective of Synchrony Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Synchrony Financial using Synchrony Financial's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Synchrony using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Synchrony Financial's stock price.
Synchrony Financial Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Synchrony Financial's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Synchrony. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Synchrony Financial stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Synchrony Financial may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Synchrony Financial and may potentially protect profits, hedge Synchrony Financial with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 35.1796 | Short Percent 0.0362 | Short Ratio 2.34 | Shares Short Prior Month 12.5 M | 50 Day MA 40.9416 |
Synchrony Financial Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Synchrony Financial's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Synchrony. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Synchrony can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Synchrony Financial. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Synchrony Financial's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Synchrony Financial.
Synchrony Financial Implied Volatility | 56.14 |
Synchrony Financial's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Synchrony Financial stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Synchrony Financial's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Synchrony Financial stock will not fluctuate a lot when Synchrony Financial's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Synchrony Financial. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Synchrony Financial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Synchrony because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Synchrony Financial after-hype prediction price | USD 40.27 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Synchrony contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Synchrony Financial will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 3.51% per day over the life of the 2024-04-19 option contract. With Synchrony Financial trading at USD 40.47, that is roughly USD 1.42 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Synchrony Financial's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Synchrony Financial options at the current volatility level of 56.14%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Synchrony |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Synchrony Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Synchrony Financial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Synchrony Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Synchrony Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Synchrony Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Synchrony Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Synchrony Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Synchrony Financial's historical news coverage. Synchrony Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 38.68 and 41.86, respectively. We have considered Synchrony Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Synchrony Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Synchrony Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.
Synchrony Financial Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Synchrony Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Synchrony Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Synchrony Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.19 | 1.59 | 0.20 | 0.30 | 12 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 12 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
40.47 | 40.27 | 0.49 |
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Synchrony Financial Hype Timeline
On the 16th of April 2024 Synchrony Financial is traded for 40.47. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.2, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.3. Synchrony is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 40.27. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 152.88%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.49%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.19%. The volatility of related hype on Synchrony Financial is about 99.58%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 40.17. About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.25. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Synchrony Financial has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.79. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.19. The firm last dividend was issued on the 2nd of February 2024. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 12 days. Check out Synchrony Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Synchrony Financial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Synchrony Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Synchrony Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Synchrony Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Synchrony Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| V | Visa Class A | 1.04 | 8 per month | 0.94 | (0.02) | 1.27 | (1.40) | 4.97 | |
| PYPL | PayPal Holdings | (0.02) | 6 per month | 2.87 | 0.01 | 3.67 | (3.66) | 17.25 | |
| MA | Mastercard | (5.81) | 7 per month | 0.96 | 0.05 | 1.57 | (1.43) | 6.10 |
Synchrony Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Synchrony price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Synchrony using various technical indicators. When you analyze Synchrony charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Synchrony Financial Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Synchrony Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Synchrony Financial, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Synchrony Financial based on analysis of Synchrony Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Synchrony Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Synchrony Financial's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0207 | 0.0302 | 0.0279 | 0.0182 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.57 | 0.99 | 1.18 | 2.18 |
Story Coverage note for Synchrony Financial
The number of cover stories for Synchrony Financial depends on current market conditions and Synchrony Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Synchrony Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Synchrony Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Synchrony Financial Short Properties
Synchrony Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Synchrony Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Synchrony Financial often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Synchrony Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Synchrony Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 406.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 14.3 B |
Check out Synchrony Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Synchrony Stock please use our How to Invest in Synchrony Financial guide.You can also try the Cryptocurrency Center module to build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency.
Complementary Tools for Synchrony Stock analysis
When running Synchrony Financial's price analysis, check to measure Synchrony Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Synchrony Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Synchrony Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Synchrony Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Synchrony Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Synchrony Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Synchrony Financial's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Synchrony Financial. If investors know Synchrony will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Synchrony Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.18) | Dividend Share 0.96 | Earnings Share 5.19 | Revenue Per Share 18.191 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.02) |
The market value of Synchrony Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Synchrony that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Synchrony Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Synchrony Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Synchrony Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Synchrony Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Synchrony Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Synchrony Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Synchrony Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.