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Syndicate risk analysis

 
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Syndicate Bank Limited

Stock@National Stock Exchange of India 
India INR
     
Use Syndicate Bank Limited (#INE667A01018IN) risk analysis together with your other stock asset holdings to protect against small markets fluctuations as well as to check it against diversification policy that fits your risk preferences.  Optimize Portfolio
Investment horizon: 
  30 Days    Login   to change

Projected Return Density against Market

Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the stock has beta cooficient of 1.56 . This entails as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are expected to be negative, Syndicate will likely underperform. In addition to that, Syndicate Bank Limited has alpha of 1.56 implying that it can potentially generate 1.56% excess return over S&P 500 after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
Predicted Return Density
 
Returns   
S&P 500   Syndicate   
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the coefficient of variation of Syndicate is 1255.91. The daily returns are destributed with a variance of 8.56 and standard deviation of 2.93. The mean deviation of Syndicate Bank Limited is currently at 1.88. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (S&P 500) has volatility of 0.57
alpha for Syndicate Bank Limited(alpha)= 1.56 
beta for Syndicate Bank Limited(beta) = 1.56 
volatility for Syndicate Bank Limited(volatility) = 2.92 

Actual Return Volatility

Syndicate Bank Limited accepts 2.92% volatility on return distribution over the 30 days horizon. S&P 500 shows 0.57% volatility of returns over 30 trading days.
Daily Returns (%)
Market   Equity   
 
    
April 26 2013
 119.35 
  
 117.35 
(2.00)  Macroaxis: -1.6757436112274822 Down   1.68%  
Lowest period price (30 days)
May 15 2013
 124.30 
  
 130.40 
6.10  Macroaxis: 4.907481898632348 Up   4.91%  
Highest period price (30 days)
    
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Syndicate Bank Limited has a volatility of 2.92 and is 3.14 times more volatile than BSE. 38% of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Syndicate. Compared with the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Syndicate Bank Limited is lower than 38 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 30 days. Use Syndicate Bank Limited to protect against small markets fluctuations. The stock experiences unexpected downward movement. The market is reacting to new fundamentals. As market goes up, the company is expected to significantly outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Syndicate will likely underperform.

Syndicate correlation with market

Good diversification
Overlapping area represents amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Syndicate Bank Limited and equity matching BSESN index in the same portfolio

Syndicate Current Risk Indicators

Risk Adjusted Performance0.0531
Market Risk Adjusted Performance0.1529
Mean Deviation1.88
Semi-Deviation2.29
Downside Deviation3.17
Coefficient Of Variation1255.91
Standard Deviation2.93

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