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SP 500   1,652   3.30  Index Moved Down -0.2%
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Telef risk analysis

 
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Telef

Stock@Buenos-Aires Stock Exchange 
Argentina ARS
     
Use Telef (#ES0178430E18AR) risk analysis together with your other stock asset holdings to protect against small markets fluctuations as well as to check it against diversification policy that fits your risk preferences.  Optimize Portfolio
Investment horizon: 
  30 Days    Login   to change

Projected Return Density against Market

Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the stock has beta cooficient of 22.9 . This entails as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are expected to be negative, Telef will likely underperform. In addition to that, Telef has alpha of 22.9 implying that it can potentially generate 22.9% excess return over S&P 500 after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
Predicted Return Density
 
Returns   
S&P 500   Telef   
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the coefficient of variation of Telef is 360.84. The daily returns are destributed with a variance of 58753.33 and standard deviation of 242.39. The mean deviation of Telef is currently at 137.86. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (S&P 500) has volatility of 0.57
alpha for Telef(alpha)= 22.90 
beta for Telef(beta) = 22.90 
volatility for Telef(volatility) = 242.39 

Actual Return Volatility

Telef assumes 242.39% volatility of returns over the 30 days investment horizon. S&P 500 shows 0.57% volatility of returns over 30 trading days.
Daily Returns (%)
Market   Equity   
 
    
May 10 2013
 14.37 
  
 14.38 
0.01  Macroaxis: 0.0695894224078049 Up   0.07%  
Lowest period price (30 days)
May 03 2013
 135.00 
  
 140.00 
5.00  Macroaxis: 3.7037037037037033 Up   3.70%  
Highest period price (30 days)
    
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Telef has a volatility of 242.39 and is 98.93 times more volatile than MerVal. 96% of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Telef. Compared with the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Telef is higher than 96 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 30 days. Use Telef to protect against small markets fluctuations. The stock experiences normal downward trend, but the immediate impact on correlations cannot be determined at the moment . As market goes up, the company is expected to significantly outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Telef will likely underperform.

Telef correlation with market

Good diversification
Overlapping area represents amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Telef and equity matching MERV index in the same portfolio

Telef Current Risk Indicators

Risk Adjusted Performance0.1668
Market Risk Adjusted Performance2.94
Mean Deviation137.86
Semi-Deviation28.66
Downside Deviation42.16
Coefficient Of Variation360.84
Standard Deviation242.39

Suggested Divercification Pairs

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