Tethys Petroleum Limited Stock Price Prediction

TETHF Stock  USD 0.63  0.14  18.18%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Tethys Petroleum's share price is above 70 as of 29th of March 2024. This usually implies that the pink sheet is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Tethys, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

71

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Tethys Petroleum stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Tethys Petroleum shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Tethys Petroleum's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Tethys Petroleum and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Tethys Petroleum's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Tethys Petroleum Limited, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether pink sheet price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Tethys Petroleum based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Tethys stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Tethys Petroleum over a specific investment horizon. Using Tethys Petroleum hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Tethys Petroleum Limited from the perspective of Tethys Petroleum response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Tethys Petroleum. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Tethys Petroleum to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Tethys because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Tethys Petroleum after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.63  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Tethys Petroleum Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Tethys Petroleum's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.030.546.62
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.546.62
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.610.720.83
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Tethys Petroleum. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Tethys Petroleum's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Tethys Petroleum's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Tethys Petroleum.

Tethys Petroleum After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Tethys Petroleum at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Tethys Petroleum or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Tethys Petroleum, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Tethys Petroleum Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Tethys Petroleum's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Tethys Petroleum's historical news coverage. Tethys Petroleum's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.03 and 6.71, respectively. We have considered Tethys Petroleum's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.63
0.63
After-hype Price
6.71
Upside
Tethys Petroleum is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Tethys Petroleum is based on 3 months time horizon.

Tethys Petroleum Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Tethys Petroleum is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Tethys Petroleum backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Tethys Petroleum, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.48 
6.08
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.63
0.63
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Tethys Petroleum Hype Timeline

Tethys Petroleum is at this time traded for 0.63. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Tethys is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.48%. %. The volatility of related hype on Tethys Petroleum is about 182400.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.63. About 48.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.46. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Tethys Petroleum last dividend was issued on the 25th of January 2023. The entity had 1:10 split on the 21st of December 2018. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week.
Check out Tethys Petroleum Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Tethys Petroleum Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Tethys Petroleum's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Tethys Petroleum's future price movements. Getting to know how Tethys Petroleum rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Tethys Petroleum may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Tethys Petroleum Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Tethys price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Tethys using various technical indicators. When you analyze Tethys charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Tethys Petroleum Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Tethys Petroleum stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Tethys Petroleum Limited, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Tethys Petroleum based on analysis of Tethys Petroleum hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Tethys Petroleum's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Tethys Petroleum's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Tethys Petroleum

The number of cover stories for Tethys Petroleum depends on current market conditions and Tethys Petroleum's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Tethys Petroleum is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Tethys Petroleum's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Tethys Petroleum Short Properties

Tethys Petroleum's future price predictability will typically decrease when Tethys Petroleum's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Tethys Petroleum Limited often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Tethys Petroleum's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tethys Petroleum's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding107.5 M
Check out Tethys Petroleum Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Note that the Tethys Petroleum information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Tethys Petroleum's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.

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Please note, there is a significant difference between Tethys Petroleum's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Tethys Petroleum is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Tethys Petroleum's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.