Target Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

TGT -- USA Stock  

USD 77.12  0.13  0.17%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring Target headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Target Corporation brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Target hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Target Corporation from the prospective of Target response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Target over a specific investment horizon. Also please take a look at Target Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Target After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline

Target Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

June 18, 2018
77.12
Current Value
77.12
After-hype Price
Target Odds
  
83.15
Upside
Target is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Target is based on 1 month time horizon.

Target Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.02% 2.01% 0.00%  0.01% 7 Events / Month6 Events / MonthIn about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
77.1277.120.00%
1,182% 

Target Hype Timeline

On 18 of June Target Corporation is traded for 77.12. This company stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.01. Target Corporation is estimated not to react to the next headline with price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of 1182.35%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small where as daily expected return is at this time at 0.02%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to Target is about 297.34%%. The volatility of related hype on Target is about 297.34% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 77.13. About 90.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Target Corporation was at this time reported as 21.62. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.29. Target Corporation recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.33. This company last dividend was issued on 2018-05-15. The firm had 2:1 split on 2000-07-20. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in about 7 days.
Also please take a look at Target Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Target Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Macys 1.44 5 per month 1.74  0.23  4.33 (4.00)  11.95 
Dollar General Corporation 0.97 5 per month 3.14  0.0371  2.03 (0.86)  10.02 
The Home Depot 1.47 5 per month 0.00  0.43  1.33 (0.99)  2.80 
Dollar Tree 0.67 7 per month 0.00 (0.07)  2.14 (1.64)  15.81 
Vipshop Holdings Limited 0.03 5 per month 0.00 (0.10)  2.40 (1.77)  6.14 
Aarons 0.75 7 per month 0.00  0.31  2.29 (2.00)  4.52 
Best Buy Co 0.41 6 per month 0.00 (0.0333)  2.72 (3.61)  7.29 
Big Lots 0.70 6 per month 0.00 (0.0447)  4.42 (3.35)  8.49 
Barnes Noble(0.10) 5 per month 0.00  0.32  3.85 (2.73)  12.75 
Fossil Group 0.42 6 per month 0.00  0.72  8.32 (1.51)  10.56 
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Also please take a look at Target Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine historical correlation between any two equity instruments.