Target Price Prediction

Target Corporation -- USA Stock  

USD 70.63  0.36  0.51%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring Target headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Target Corporation brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Target hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Target Corporation from the prospective of Target response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Target over a specific investment horizon. Also please take a look at Target Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Target Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

 Next price density 
Expected price to next headline
March 18, 2018
Current Value
Downside upside
After-hype Price
Target Price Odds
 Above  Below  
Upside upside
Target is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Target is based on 1 month time horizon.

Target Hype Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.31% 1.78% 0.48%  0.18% 2 Events / Month1 Events / MonthIn a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility

Target Hype Timeline

On 18 of March Target Corporation is traded for 70.63. This company has historical hype elasticity of 0.48 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.18. Target Corporation is estimated to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 71.11. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 115.58%. The price escalation on the next news is estimated to be 0.68% where as daily expected return is at this time at -0.31%. The volatility of related hype on Target is about 315.04% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 70.81. The company reported last year revenue of 71.88 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 2.93 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 20.62 B. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in a few days.
Also please take a look at Target Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Target Related Hype Analysis

Short fall
At Risk
Macys Inc 0.42 1 per month 1.19  0.18 (2.73)  3.69 (2.32)  7.31 
Dollar General Corporation 1.84 1 per month 0.00 (0.028)  0.00  2.13 (3.74)  6.18 
The Home Depot Inc 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.13)  0.00  1.84 (1.85)  3.72 
Dollar Tree Inc 0.50 2 per month 0.00 (0.12)  0.00  2.32 (2.16)  17.03 
Vipshop Holdings Limited 0.30 1 per month 0.00 (0.0601)  0.00  3.27 (4.80)  8.36 
Aarons Inc 0.33 2 per month 0.09  0.38 (2.00)  3.05 (1.38)  10.51