Target Price Prediction

Target Corporation -- USA Stock  

USD 60.15  0.7  1.15%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring Target headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Target Corporation brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Target hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Target Corporation from the prospective of Target response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Target over a specific investment horizon. Also please take a look at Target Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Investment Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Target estimiated after-hype price volatility

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline
October 16, 2017
60.15
Current Value
Downside upside
60.13
After-hype Price
Target Price Odds
 Above  Below  
63.88
Upside
Upside upside
Target is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Target is based on 1 month time horizon.

Target Hype Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.09% 1.25% 0.02%  0.01% 1 Events / Month1 Events / MonthVery soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
60.1560.130.03%
595.24% 

Target Hype Timeline

On 16 of October Target Corporation is traded for  60.15 . This company has historical hype elasticity of -0.02 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Target Corporation is estimated to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 60.13. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 595.24%. The closing price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.03% where as daily expected return is at this time at 0.09%. The volatility of related hype on Target is about 781.25% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 60.16. About 86.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. Book value of Target Corporation was at this time as 20.32. The company last dividend was issued on 2017-08-14. Target Corporation had 2:1 split on 2000-07-20. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be very soon.
Also please take a look at Target Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Target Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Expected
Short fall
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Macys Inc(0.13) 1 per month 0.00 (0.45)  0.00  1.75 (2.21)  6.01 
Dollar General Corporation(0.24) 1 per month 0.49  0.12 (1.11)  2.16 (1.41)  3.59 
The Home Depot Inc 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.0652 (0.46)  0.74 (0.37)  1.29 
Dollar Tree Inc 0.89 1 per month 0.00  0.34 (0.81)  2.16 (0.4)  3.74 
Vipshop Holdings Limited 0.44 1 per month 0.00 (0.42)  0.00  1.78 (3.64)  6.23 
Aarons Inc 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.0861)  0.00  3.27 (2.12)  10.47