Target Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

TGT -- USA Stock  

USD 67.81  1.73  2.49%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Target Corporation which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Target hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Target Corporation from the prospective of Target response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Target over a specific investment horizon. Also please take a look at Target Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Target After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Target Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

December 9, 2018
67.81
Current Value
66.74
After-hype Price
Target Odds
  
73.94
Upside
Target is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Target is based on 2 months time horizon.

Target Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.51% 2.40% 1.07%  0.18% 5 Events / Month8 Events / MonthIn about 5 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
67.8166.741.58%
114.83% 

Target Hype Timeline

On 09 of December Target Corporation is traded for 67.81. This company has historical hype elasticity of -1.07 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.18. Target Corporation is estimated to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 66.74. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 114.83%. The closing price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -1.58% where as daily expected return is at this time at -0.51%. The volatility of related hype on Target is about 668.52% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 67.63. About 86.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Target Corporation was at this time reported as 21.23. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.61. Target Corporation recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.03. This company last dividend was issued on 2018-11-20. The firm had 2:1 split on 2000-07-20. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in about 5 days.
Also please take a look at Target Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Target Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Vipshop Holdings Limited(0.08) 8 per month 0.00  0.0299  7.28 (6.02)  26.83 
Rite Aid Corporation(0.02) 8 per month 0.00 (0.0185)  4.72 (6.31)  17.43 
Sally Beauty Holdings(0.76) 8 per month 2.70  0.12  3.55 (3.94)  24.16 
Sprouts Farmers Market 0.33 9 per month 0.00  0.0032  2.96 (3.86)  17.79 
Spectrum Brands Holdings(0.95) 8 per month 0.00 (0.19)  2.59 (4.80)  22.43 
SUPERVALU 0.00 9 per month 0.00  0.92  0.22 (0.03)  1.34 
Sysco Corporation 0.04 8 per month 0.00 (0.0204)  2.40 (2.82)  12.55 
Target Corporation(2.09) 5 per month 0.00 (0.13)  2.64 (2.85)  13.90 
Walgreens Boots Alliance(0.35) 8 per month 1.46  0.24  2.26 (2.60)  11.49 
Weis Markets 0.29 8 per month 1.56  0.21  3.51 (3.40)  9.87 

Contributor Headline

Latest Prospective on Target

Target
  over a month ago at Macroaxis
Filed for Ulrich Robert J
Envestnet exotic insider transaction detected
December 9, 2018 for James Johnson
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Also please take a look at Target Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Fund Screener module to find activelly-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.
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