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Target risk analysis

 
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Target Corp

Stock@New York Stock Exchange 
United States USD
     
Use Target Corp risk analysis together with your other stock asset holdings to enhance returns of your portfolios as well as to check it against diversification policy that fits your risk preferences.  Optimize Portfolio
Investment horizon: 
  30 Days    Login   to change

Projected Return Density against Market

Considering 30-days investment horizon, Target has beta of 0.96 . This entails Target Corp market returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market benchmark goes up or down, Target is expected to follow. Moreover, Target Corp has alpha of 0.96 implying that it can potentially generate 0.96% excess return over S&P 500 after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
Predicted Return Density
 
Returns   
S&P 500   Target   
Considering 30-days investment horizon, the coefficient of variation of Target is -2828.98. The daily returns are destributed with a variance of 1.7 and standard deviation of 1.3. The mean deviation of Target Corp is currently at 0.89. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (S&P 500) has volatility of 0.58
alpha for Target Corp(alpha)= 0.96 
beta for Target Corp(beta) = 0.96 
volatility for Target Corp(volatility) = 1.30 

Actual Return Volatility

Target Corp has volatility of 1.3% on return distribution over 30 days investment horizon. S&P 500 shows 0.58% volatility of returns over 30 trading days.
Daily Returns (%)
Market   Equity   
 
    
May 22 2013
 69.51 
  
 68.40 
(1.11)  Macroaxis: -1.5968925334484236 Down   1.60%  
Lowest period price (30 days)
May 21 2013
 70.68 
  
 71.26 
0.58  Macroaxis: 0.8205998868138062 Up   0.82%  
Highest period price (30 days)
    
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Target Corp has a volatility of 1.3 and is 2.24 times more volatile than S&P 500. 17% of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Target. Compared with the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Target Corp is lower than 17 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 30 days. Use Target Corp to enhance returns of your portfolios. The stock experiences large bullish trend. Target returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As market goes up or down, Target is expected to follow.

Target correlation with market

Very weak diversification
Overlapping area represents amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Target Corp. and equity matching GSPC index in the same portfolio

Target Current Risk Indicators

Risk Adjusted Performance(0.02)
Market Risk Adjusted Performance(0.05)
Mean Deviation0.8929
Semi-Deviation1.69
Downside Deviation1.58
Coefficient Of Variation(2,829)
Standard Deviation1.3

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