Tompkins Financial Stock Price Prediction
| TMP Stock | USD 46.65 0.38 0.82% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
33
Oversold | Overbought |
Tompkins Financial stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Tompkins Financial shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Tompkins Financial's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Tompkins Financial and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Tompkins Financial's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Tompkins Financial, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Tompkins Financial's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.22) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.2 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.54 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.9 | Wall Street Target Price 52.5 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Tompkins Financial based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Tompkins stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Tompkins Financial over a specific investment horizon. Using Tompkins Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Tompkins Financial from the perspective of Tompkins Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Tompkins Financial using Tompkins Financial's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Tompkins using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Tompkins Financial's stock price.
Tompkins Financial Implied Volatility | 0.0 |
Tompkins Financial's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Tompkins Financial stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Tompkins Financial's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Tompkins Financial stock will not fluctuate a lot when Tompkins Financial's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Tompkins Financial. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Tompkins Financial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Tompkins because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Tompkins Financial after-hype prediction price | USD 46.56 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Tompkins contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Tompkins Financial will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0% per day over the life of the 2024-05-17 option contract. With Tompkins Financial trading at USD 46.65, that is roughly USD 0.0 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Tompkins Financial's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Tompkins Financial options at the current volatility level of 0.0%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Tompkins |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Tompkins Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Tompkins Financial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Tompkins Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Tompkins Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Tompkins Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Tompkins Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Tompkins Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Tompkins Financial's historical news coverage. Tompkins Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 44.04 and 49.08, respectively. We have considered Tompkins Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Tompkins Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Tompkins Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.
Tompkins Financial Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Tompkins Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Tompkins Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Tompkins Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.18 | 2.52 | 0.09 | 0.05 | 8 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
46.65 | 46.56 | 0.19 |
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Tompkins Financial Hype Timeline
On the 25th of April Tompkins Financial is traded for 46.65. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.09, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.05. Tompkins is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 46.56. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.19%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.18%. The volatility of related hype on Tompkins Financial is about 868.97%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 46.60. About 64.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.96. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Tompkins Financial has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.46. The entity last dividend was issued on the 8th of February 2024. The firm had 11:10 split on the 3rd of February 2010. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Tompkins Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Tompkins Financial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Tompkins Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Tompkins Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Tompkins Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Tompkins Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HBCP | Home Bancorp | (0.08) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.82 | (3.33) | 11.98 | |
| AFBI | Affinity Bancshares | (0.50) | 1 per month | 1.44 | (0.02) | 2.06 | (2.30) | 10.50 |
Tompkins Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Tompkins price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Tompkins using various technical indicators. When you analyze Tompkins charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Tompkins Financial Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Tompkins Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Tompkins Financial, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Tompkins Financial based on analysis of Tompkins Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Tompkins Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Tompkins Financial's related companies. | 2021 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0266 | 0.0402 | 0.0222 | Price To Sales Ratio | 4.02 | 2.89 | 3.02 |
Story Coverage note for Tompkins Financial
The number of cover stories for Tompkins Financial depends on current market conditions and Tompkins Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Tompkins Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Tompkins Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Tompkins Financial Short Properties
Tompkins Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Tompkins Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Tompkins Financial often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Tompkins Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tompkins Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 14.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 79.5 M |
Check out Tompkins Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Tompkins Stock, please use our How to Invest in Tompkins Financial guide.You can also try the Bonds Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.
Complementary Tools for Tompkins Stock analysis
When running Tompkins Financial's price analysis, check to measure Tompkins Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tompkins Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Tompkins Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tompkins Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tompkins Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tompkins Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Tompkins Financial's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Tompkins Financial. If investors know Tompkins will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Tompkins Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.22) | Dividend Share 2.4 | Earnings Share 0.66 | Revenue Per Share 15.112 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.07) |
The market value of Tompkins Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Tompkins that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Tompkins Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Tompkins Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Tompkins Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Tompkins Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Tompkins Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Tompkins Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Tompkins Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.