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Trimble risk analysis

 
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Trimble Navigation L

Stock@NASDAQ 
United States USD
  
38.57 times
    
Macroaxis considers Trimble not too volatile. Trimble Navigation L owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e. Sharpe Ratio) of -0.25 which indicates Trimble Navigation L had -0.25% of return per unit of risk over the last 1 month. Macroaxis philosophy towards measuring risk of any stock is to look at both systematic and un-systematic factors of the business, including all available market data and technical indicators. Trimble Navigation Limited exposes twenty-seven different technical indicators which can help you to evaluate volatility that cannot be diversified away. Please be advised to validate Trimble Semi-Deviation of 1.74, Coefficient Of Variation of (400.18) and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.21) to make sure to check risk estimate we provide.
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Investment horizon: 
  30 Days    Login   to change

Projected Return Density against Market

Given investment horizon of 30 days, the stock has beta cooficient of 1.2 . This entails as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are expected to be negative, Trimble will likely underperform. In addition to that, Trimble Navigation Limited has alpha of 1.2 implying that it can potentially generate 1.2% excess return over S&P 500 after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
Predicted Return Density
 
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Returns   
S&P 500   Trimble   
Given investment horizon of 30 days, the coefficient of variation of Trimble is -400.18. The daily returns are destributed with a variance of 2.08 and standard deviation of 1.44. The mean deviation of Trimble Navigation Limited is currently at 1.18. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (S&P 500) has volatility of 0.84
alpha for Trimble Navigation Limited(alpha)= 1.20 
beta for Trimble Navigation Limited(beta) = 1.20 
volatility for Trimble Navigation Limited(volatility) = 1.44 

Actual Return Volatility

Trimble Navigation Limited inherits 1.44% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 30 days horizon. S&P 500 shows 0.84% volatility of returns over 30 trading days.
Daily Returns (%)
Market   Equity   
 
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June 13 2013
 26.06 
  
 26.00 
(0.06)  Macroaxis: -0.23023791250958836 Down   0.23%  
Lowest period price (30 days)
May 20 2013
 28.99 
  
 29.19 
0.20  Macroaxis: 0.6898930665746907 Up   0.69%  
Highest period price (30 days)
    
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Trimble Navigation Limited has a volatility of 1.44 and is 1.71 times more volatile than S&P 500. 17% of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Trimble. Compared with the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Trimble Navigation Limited is lower than 17 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 30 days. Use Trimble Navigation Limited to protect against small markets fluctuations. The stock experiences unexpected downward movement. The market is reacting to new fundamentals. As market goes up, the company is expected to significantly outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Trimble will likely underperform.

Trimble correlation with market

Poor diversification
Overlapping area represents amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Trimble Navigation Limited and equity matching GSPC index in the same portfolio

Trimble Current Risk Indicators

Risk Adjusted Performance(0.21)
Market Risk Adjusted Performance(0.30)
Mean Deviation1.18
Semi-Deviation1.74
Downside Deviation1.56
Coefficient Of Variation(400.18)
Standard Deviation1.44

Suggested Divercification Pairs

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