Ucb Sa Adr Stock Volatility
UCBJY Stock | USD 58.22 1.22 2.14% |
UCB SA appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. UCB SA ADR retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of 0.33, which indicates the company had 0.33% return per unit of volatility over the last 3 months. Our viewpoint regarding measuring the volatility of a stock is to use all available market data together with stock-specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. By evaluating UCB SA ADR technical indicators you can today evaluate if the expected return of 0.56% is justified by implied risk. Please review UCB SA's Standard Deviation of 1.82, mean deviation of 1.33, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.5692 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. Key indicators related to UCB SA's volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 30 Days Economic Sensitivity |
UCB SA Pink Sheet volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of UCB daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use UCB's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of UCB SA volatility.
UCB |
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as UCB SA can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of UCB SA at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase UCB stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of UCB SA's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.
Moving together with UCB Pink Sheet
0.94 | NVO | Novo Nordisk AS Financial Report 2nd of May 2024 | PairCorr |
0.93 | NONOF | Novo Nordisk AS | PairCorr |
0.8 | REGN | Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Financial Report 2nd of May 2024 | PairCorr |
Moving against UCB Pink Sheet
0.87 | PTAIF | PT Astra International | PairCorr |
0.79 | WXIBF | WuXi Biologics | PairCorr |
0.77 | EC | Ecopetrol SA ADR Report 3rd of April 2024 | PairCorr |
0.64 | PTAIY | Astra International Tbk | PairCorr |
UCB SA Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
UCB SA's beta coefficient measures the volatility of UCB pink sheet compared to the systematic risk of the entire stock market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents UCB pink sheet's returns against your selected market. In other words, UCB SA's beta of 0.89 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk UCB SA pink sheet can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios.
UCB SA ADR has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.71 and kurtosis of 3.6. However, we advise all investors to independently investigate UCB SA ADR to ensure all accessible information is consistent with the expectations about its upside potential and future expected returns. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure UCB SA's pink sheet risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact UCB SA's pink sheet price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall. 3 Months Beta |Analyze UCB SA ADR Demand TrendCheck current 90 days UCB SA correlation with market (NYSE Composite)UCB Beta |
UCB standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. Typical volatile equity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 1.69 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by UCB SA's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of UCB SA's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in ucb pink sheet tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in UCB SA.
UCB SA ADR Pink Sheet Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which UCB SA pink sheet price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with UCB SA's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of UCB SA's pink sheet to predict their future moves. A pink sheet that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A pink sheet with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile pink sheet is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of UCB SA's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of pink sheet volatility measures UCB SA's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict UCB SA's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the pink sheet.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for UCB SA's current market price. This means that the pink sheet will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on UCB SA's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. UCB SA ADR Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
UCB SA Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days horizon UCB SA has a beta of 0.8852 . This usually implies UCB SA ADR market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, UCB SA is expected to follow.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to UCB SA or Healthcare sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that UCB SA's price will be affected by overall pink sheet market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a UCB pink sheet's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
The company has an alpha of 0.3782, implying that it can generate a 0.38 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Predicted Return Density |
Returns |
What Drives an UCB SA Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a pink sheet's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.UCB SA Pink Sheet Risk Measures
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to UCB SA or Healthcare sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that UCB SA's price will be affected by overall pink sheet market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a UCB pink sheet's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision. Assuming the 90 days horizon the coefficient of variation of UCB SA is 304.4. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 2.86 and standard deviation of 1.69. The mean deviation of UCB SA ADR is currently at 1.25. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (NYSE Composite) has volatility of 0.63
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.38 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.89 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.69 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.20 |
UCB SA Pink Sheet Return Volatility
UCB SA historical daily return volatility represents how much of UCB SA pink sheet's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company shows 1.6903% volatility of returns over 90 . By contrast, NYSE Composite accepts 0.5953% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
Timeline |
About UCB SA Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of UCB SA or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of UCB SA may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to UCB's beta indicator, it measures the risk of UCB SA and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of UCB SA fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.UCB SA, a biopharmaceutical company, develops products and solutions for people with neurology and immunology diseases. The company was incorporated in 1925 and is headquartered in Brussels, Belgium. UCB S operates under Biotechnology classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange. It employs 8600 people.
UCB SA's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on UCB Pink Sheet over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much UCB SA's price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize UCB SA's volatility to invest better
Higher UCB SA's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of UCB SA ADR stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. UCB SA ADR stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of UCB SA ADR investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in UCB SA's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of UCB SA's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
UCB SA Investment Opportunity
UCB SA ADR has a volatility of 1.69 and is 2.82 times more volatile than NYSE Composite. 14 of all equities and portfolios are less risky than UCB SA. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of UCB SA ADR is lower than 14 () of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Use UCB SA ADR to enhance the returns of your portfolios. Benchmarks are essential to demonstrate the utility of optimization algorithms. The pink sheet experiences an expected bullish sentiment for its category. Check odds of UCB SA to be traded at $69.86 in 90 days.Weak diversification
The correlation between UCB SA ADR and NYA is 0.31 (i.e., Weak diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding UCB SA ADR and NYA in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
UCB SA Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of UCB SA's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in UCB SA's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of UCB SA pink sheet's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1824 | |||
Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.5692 | |||
Mean Deviation | 1.33 | |||
Semi Deviation | 1.09 | |||
Downside Deviation | 1.58 | |||
Coefficient Of Variation | 359.52 | |||
Standard Deviation | 1.82 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential pink sheets, we recommend comparing similar pink sheets with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
UCB SA Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
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The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against UCB SA as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. UCB SA's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, UCB SA's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to UCB SA ADR.
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in UCB SA ADR. Also, note that the market value of any Company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in inflation. You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.
Complementary Tools for UCB Pink Sheet analysis
When running UCB SA's price analysis, check to measure UCB SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy UCB SA is operating at the current time. Most of UCB SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of UCB SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move UCB SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of UCB SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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