United States Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

UGA -- USA Etf  

USD 33.04  0.09  0.27%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring United States headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with United States Gasoline brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With United States hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of United States Gasoline from the prospective of United States response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on United States over a specific investment horizon. Also please take a look at United States Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

United States After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline

United States Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

July 19, 2018
33.04
Current Value
33.04
After-hype Price
Target Odds
  
38.53
Upside
United States is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of United States Gasoline is based on 1 month time horizon.

United States Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.06% 1.83% 0.00%  0.00% 0 Events / Month0 Events / MonthAny time
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
33.0433.040.00%
0.00% 

United States Hype Timeline

On 19 of July United States Gasoline is traded for 33.04. This company stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. United States Gasoline is estimated not to react to the next headline with price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of 0.0%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small where as daily expected return is at this time at 0.06%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to United States is about 2204.82%%. The volatility of related hype on United States is about 2204.82% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 33.04. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 0.92. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. United States Gasoline had not issued any dividends in recent years. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be any time.
Also please take a look at United States Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

United States Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
United States Oil 0.00 0 per month 2.04  0.08  3.63 (3.66)  10.38 
United States Natural Gas 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.42)  1.55 (1.98)  3.65 
PowerShares DB Oil ETF 0.04 1 per month 2.47 (0.0079)  1.84 (3.77)  8.44 
VelocityShares 3x Invrs Crude Oil ETNNew 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.14)  10.56 (10.50)  18.53 
PowerShares DB Energy ETF 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.07)  1.65 (3.62)  7.33 
ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Crude Oil 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.13)  6.99 (6.11)  11.31 
VelocityShares 3x Lng Crude Oil ETN New 0.00 0 per month 6.12  0.10  10.64 (10.87)  30.72 
United States 12 Month Oil 0.00 0 per month 2.37  0.0135  2.21 (3.57)  8.86 
iPath B SP GSCI Crude Oil TR ETN 0.79 1 per month 1.72  0.07  3.61 (3.26)  9.54 
United States Gasoline 0.00 0 per month 2.03 (0.0431)  2.12 (3.89)  7.35 

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Also please take a look at United States Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Bollinger Bands module to use bollinger bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.