United Parcel Price Prediction

United Parcel Service Inc -- USA Stock  

USD 118.15  1.61  1.34%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring United Parcel headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with United Parcel Service Inc brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With United Parcel hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of United Parcel Service Inc from the prospective of United Parcel response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on United Parcel over a specific investment horizon. Also please take a look at United Parcel Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Investment Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

United Parcel estimiated after-hype price volatility

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline
October 21, 2017
118.15
Current Value
Downside upside
Downside
116.34
118.17
After-hype Price
Target Price Odds
 Above  Below  
120.0
Upside
Upside upside
United Parcel is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of United Parcel Service is based on 1 month time horizon.

United Parcel Hype Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.1% 0.61% 0.02%  0.04% 1 Events / Month1 Events / MonthVery soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
118.15118.170.02%
358.82% 

United Parcel Hype Timeline

On 21 of October United Parcel Service Inc is traded for  118.15 . This company has historical hype elasticity of 0.02 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. United Parcel Service Inc is estimated to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 118.17. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 358.82%. The price escalation on the next news is estimated to be 0.02% where as daily expected return is at this time at 0.1%. The volatility of related hype on United Parcel is about 140.23% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 118.19. The company reported last year revenue of 62.92 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 3.57 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 47.08 B. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be very soon.
Also please take a look at United Parcel Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

United Parcel Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Expected
Short fall
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Ryder System Inc 0.47 1 per month 1.43 (0.0663) (0.81)  1.36 (2.19)  4.38 
Werner Enterprises Inc 0.6 1 per month 0.00 (0.13)  0.00  1.87 (2.34)  6.29 
Expeditors International of Washington Inc 0.34 2 per month 0.85 (0.12) (0.56)  1.15 (1.44)  3.66 
The Brinks Company 1 1 per month 0.61  0.12 (1.2)  1.93 (1.97)  6.21 
CSX Corporation 0.07 1 per month 1.13 (0.0403) (0.87)  1.32 (1.4)  3.79 
FedEx Corporation 0.13 1 per month 0.6 (0.0797) (0.62)  1.07 (1.26)  3.41