United Parcel Price Prediction

United Parcel Service Inc -- USA Stock  

USD 107.65  5.99  5.89%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring United Parcel headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with United Parcel Service Inc brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With United Parcel hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of United Parcel Service Inc from the prospective of United Parcel response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on United Parcel over a specific investment horizon. Also please take a look at United Parcel Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

United Parcel Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

 Next price density 
Expected price to next headline
March 24, 2018
Current Value
Downside upside
After-hype Price
Target Price Odds
 Above  Below  
Upside upside
United Parcel is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of United Parcel Service is based on 1 month time horizon.

United Parcel Hype Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.14% 1.67% 0.45%  0.23% 1 Events / Month1 Events / MonthVery soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility

United Parcel Hype Timeline

On 24 of March United Parcel Service Inc is traded for 107.65. This company has historical hype elasticity of -0.45 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.23. United Parcel Service Inc is estimated to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 101.27. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 51.7%. The closing price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.38% where as daily expected return is at this time at -0.14%. The volatility of related hype on United Parcel is about 99.6% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 107.42. About 55.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.4. United Parcel Service Inc recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.61. This company last dividend was issued on 2018-02-16. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be very soon.
Also please take a look at United Parcel Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

United Parcel Related Hype Analysis

Short fall
At Risk
Ryder System Inc 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
Werner Enterprises Inc(0.85) 1 per month 0.00  0.0183  0.00  1.97 (2.06)  6.94 
Expeditors International of Washington Inc 0.88 2 per month 0.00 (0.0876)  0.00  1.85 (2.55)  4.85 
The Brinks Company(1.45) 2 per month 0.00 (0.11)  0.00  2.65 (2.22)  6.41 
CSX Corporation(1.06) 1 per month 0.00  0.0471  0.00  2.43 (2.54)  5.94 
FedEx Corporation(7.58) 1 per month 0.00 (0.0931)  0.00  2.77 (2.87)  7.89