Correlation Between United States and Invesco DB

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both United States and Invesco DB at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining United States and Invesco DB into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between United States 12 and Invesco DB Oil, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on United States and Invesco DB and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in United States with a short position of Invesco DB. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of United States and Invesco DB.

Diversification Opportunities for United States and Invesco DB

1.0
  Correlation Coefficient

No risk reduction

The 3 months correlation between United and Invesco is 1.0. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding United States 12 and Invesco DB Oil in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Invesco DB Oil and United States is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on United States 12 are associated (or correlated) with Invesco DB. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Invesco DB Oil has no effect on the direction of United States i.e., United States and Invesco DB go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between United States and Invesco DB

Considering the 90-day investment horizon United States 12 is expected to generate 0.97 times more return on investment than Invesco DB. However, United States 12 is 1.03 times less risky than Invesco DB. It trades about 0.01 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Invesco DB Oil is currently generating about 0.0 per unit of risk. If you would invest  4,067  in United States 12 on January 26, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (18.00) from holding United States 12 or give up 0.44% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

United States 12  vs.  Invesco DB Oil

 Performance 
       Timeline  
United States 12 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

8 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in United States 12 are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite weak basic indicators, United States may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in May 2024.
Invesco DB Oil 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

8 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Invesco DB Oil are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very weak fundamental drivers, Invesco DB may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in May 2024.

United States and Invesco DB Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with United States and Invesco DB

The main advantage of trading using opposite United States and Invesco DB positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if United States position performs unexpectedly, Invesco DB can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Invesco DB will offset losses from the drop in Invesco DB's long position.
The idea behind United States 12 and Invesco DB Oil pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.

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