United States Price Prediction

United States 12 Month Oil -- USA Etf  

USD 23.87  0.11  0.46%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring United States headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with United States 12 Month Oil brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With United States hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of United States 12 Month Oil from the prospective of United States response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on United States over a specific investment horizon. Also please take a look at United States Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

United States After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline

United States Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

April 26, 2018
23.87
Current Value
23.86
After-hype Price
Target Price Odds
 Above  Below  
27.88
Upside
United States is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of United States 12 is based on 2 months time horizon.

United States Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.17% 1.34% 0.01%  0.04% 1 Events / Month5 Events / MonthVery soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
23.8723.860.04%
2,680% 

United States Hype Timeline

On 26 of April United States 12 Month Oil is traded for 23.87. This company has historical hype elasticity of -0.01 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. United States 12 Month Oil is estimated to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 23.86. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 2680.0%. The closing price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.04% where as daily expected return is at this time at 0.17%. The volatility of related hype on United States is about 641.15% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 23.91. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 0.83. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. United States 12 Month Oil recorded loss per share of 8.87. This company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be very soon.
Also please take a look at United States Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

United States Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Realty Income Corporation 0.94 3 per month 1.10  0.023  1.37 (2.18)  5.31 
Diamond Hill Investment Group 1.27 3 per month 0.00 (0.0836)  2.20 (2.00)  4.70 
AllianceBernstein Holding L P(0.20) 2 per month 0.00 (0.0478)  1.69 (2.04)  4.69 
Associated Capital Group 0.70 2 per month 1.85  0.0607  3.43 (3.22)  8.81 
Arlington Asset Investment Corp 0.03 2 per month 1.81  0.0171  1.70 (1.86)  8.41 
The Blackstone Group L P(0.49) 3 per month 0.00 (0.17)  1.36 (1.62)  4.29 
The Carlyle Group L P 0.00 2 per month 0.00 (0.21)  1.99 (2.58)  5.70 
China Cord Blood Corporation(0.28) 2 per month 0.00 (0.12)  2.25 (4.29)  10.20 
Credit Suisse Group AG 0.03 2 per month 0.00 (0.13)  1.32 (2.03)  5.08 
Drive Shack 0.09 3 per month 1.72  0.0148  2.61 (2.84)  8.63 

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Also please take a look at United States Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Portfolio Reporting module to create custom reports across your portfolios and generate quick suggestion pitch.