United States Price Prediction

United States 12 Month Oil -- USA Etf  

USD 22.07  0.07  0.32%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring United States headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with United States 12 Month Oil brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With United States hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of United States 12 Month Oil from the prospective of United States response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on United States over a specific investment horizon. Also please take a look at United States Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

United States Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

 Next price density 
Expected price to next headline
January 20, 2018
Current Value
Downside upside
After-hype Price
Target Price Odds
 Above  Below  
Upside upside
United States is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of United States 12 is based on 1 month time horizon.

United States Hype Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.42% 0.58% 0.02%  0.13% 1 Events / Month2 Events / MonthVery soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility

United States Hype Timeline

On 20 of January United States 12 Month Oil is traded for 22.07. This company has historical hype elasticity of -0.02 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.13. United States 12 Month Oil is estimated to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 22.05. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 1450.0%. The closing price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.09% where as daily expected return is at this time at 0.42%. The volatility of related hype on United States is about 192.27% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 22.2. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 0.83. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. United States 12 Month Oil recorded loss per share of 8.87. This company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be very soon.
Also please take a look at United States Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

United States Related Hype Analysis

Short fall
At Risk
Realty Income Corporation 0.26 1 per month 0.00 (0.57)  0.00  0.87 (2.19)  3.28 
Diamond Hill Investment Group Inc 1.92 2 per month 0.69 (0.18) (0.71)  1.43 (1.4)  2.66 
AllianceBernstein Holding L P(0.05) 2 per month 0.51  0.0688 (1.08)  1.91 (1.45)  4.65 
Associated Capital Group Inc 0.00 0 per month 1.34 (0.18) (0.93)  1.47 (2.5)  4.93 
Arlington Asset Investment Corp(0.09) 1 per month 0.00 (0.42)  0.00  0.93 (1.44)  5.77 
The Blackstone Group L P(0.23) 2 per month 0.28  0.14 (1.38)  2.49 (1.05)  4.16