United States Price Prediction

United States Oil -- USA Etf  

USD 10.48  0.05  0.48%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring United States headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with United States Oil brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With United States hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of United States Oil from the prospective of United States response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on United States over a specific investment horizon. Also please take a look at United States Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Investment Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

United States estimiated after-hype price volatility

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline
October 21, 2017
10.48
Current Value
Downside upside
10.49
After-hype Price
Target Price Odds
 Above  Below  
14.69
Upside
Upside upside
United States is not very volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of United States Oil is based on 1 month time horizon.

United States Hype Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.09% 1.4% 0.01%  0.02% 1 Events / Month1 Events / MonthVery soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
10.4810.490.1%
1,000% 

United States Hype Timeline

On 21 of October United States Oil is traded for  10.48 . This company has historical hype elasticity of 0.01 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. United States Oil is estimated to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 10.49. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 1000.0%. The price escalation on the next news is estimated to be 0.1% where as daily expected return is at this time at 0.09%. The volatility of related hype on United States is about 579.31% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 10.46. The company reported last year revenue of (1.27 B). Reported Net Loss for the year was (1.29 B) with loss before taxes, overhead, and interest of (1.27 B). Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be very soon.
Also please take a look at United States Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

United States Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Expected
Short fall
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Realty Income Corporation(0.76) 1 per month 0.00 (0.55)  0.00  0.71 (1.4)  2.47 
Diamond Hill Investment Group Inc(1.09) 1 per month 0.32  0.0058 (0.77)  1.66 (0.81)  3.33 
AllianceBernstein Holding L P(0.05) 1 per month 0.00  0.0833 (0.96)  1.66 (0.79)  3.12 
Associated Capital Group Inc 0.3 1 per month 0.00  0.16  0.00  2.66 (1.58)  5.65 
Arlington Asset Investment Corp 0.03 1 per month 0.00 (0.44)  0.00  0.39 (0.94)  4.08 
The Blackstone Group L P 0.12 1 per month 0.21  0.0592 (0.83)  1.41 (0.91)  2.52