United States Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

USO -- USA Etf  

USD 14.96  0.29  1.90%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with United States Oil which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With United States hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of United States Oil from the prospective of United States response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on United States over a specific investment horizon. Also please take a look at United States Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

United States After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline

United States Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

September 25, 2018
14.96
Current Value
14.96
After-hype Price
Target Odds
  
18.92
Upside
United States is not very risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of United States Oil is based on 1 month time horizon.

United States Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.25% 1.32% 0.00%  0.21% 0 Events / Month3 Events / MonthAny time
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
14.9614.960.00%
0.00% 

United States Hype Timeline

On 25 of September United States Oil is traded for 14.96. This company stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.21. United States Oil is estimated not to react to the next headline with price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of 0.0%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small where as daily expected return is at this time at 0.25%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to United States is about 158.27%%. The volatility of related hype on United States is about 158.27% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 15.17. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 0.68. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. United States Oil had not issued any dividends in recent years. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be any time.
Also please take a look at United States Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

United States Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
PowerShares DB Energy ETF 0.00 0 per month 0.27  0.11  2.01 (0.85)  3.45 
iPath B SP GSCI Crude Oil TR ETN 0.00 0 per month 0.74 (0.0144)  2.92 (1.13)  5.49 
ELEMENTS Rogers Intl Cmdty Energy TR ETN 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.039)  1.53 (1.68)  4.19 
Alcoa Corporation 0.64 3 per month 0.00 (0.16)  2.44 (4.02)  7.85 
The Coca Cola Company 0.07 7 per month 0.68 (0.16)  1.48 (1.09)  3.03 
HP(0.06) 5 per month 0.25  0.07  1.70 (0.80)  3.80 
ATT 0.02 5 per month 0.35  0.0159  1.02 (0.84)  3.04 
General Electric Company 0.02 6 per month 0.00 (0.26)  2.27 (3.11)  5.52 
Caterpillar 1.37 6 per month 0.23  0.21  2.86 (1.52)  4.23 
The Boeing Company 6.28 5 per month 1.12  0.06  2.14 (2.12)  3.60 

Contributor Headline

Latest Prospective on United States

United States Oil
  over six months ago at Macroaxis
Filed for Sac Capital Advisors Llc
Disposition of 18000 shares by Cottingham John R of Media General subject to Rule 16b 3
September 25, 2018 for Cottingham John R
Purchase by Chaim Katzman of 68573 shares of Equity One
September 25, 2018 for Chaim Katzman
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Also please take a look at United States Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Analyst Recommendations module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.
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