United States Price Prediction

United States 3x Oil Fund -- USA Etf  

USD 37.64  2.51  7.14%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring United States headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with United States 3x Oil Fund brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With United States hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of United States 3x Oil Fund from the prospective of United States response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on United States over a specific investment horizon. Also please take a look at United States Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Investment Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

United States Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline
November 20, 2017
37.64
Current Value
Downside upside
37.85
After-hype Price
Target Price Odds
 Above  Below  
52.04
Upside
Upside upside
United States is not very risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of United States 3x is based on 1 month time horizon.

United States Hype Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 1.25% 4.73% 0.21%  0.06% 2 Events / Month1 Events / MonthIn a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
37.6437.850.56%
2,782% 

United States Hype Timeline

United States 3x Oil Fund is at this time traded for 37.64 . This company has historical hype elasticity of 0.21 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.06. United States 3x Oil Fund is projected to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 37.85. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 2782.35%. The price appreciation on the next news is estimated to be 0.56% where as daily expected return is at this time at 1.25%. The volatility of related hype on United States is about 9154.84% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 37.7. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be in a few days.
Also please take a look at United States Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

United States Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Expected
Short fall
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ProShares Ultra Silver 0.29 1 per month 1.75 (0.0049) (1.86)  4.74 (3.28)  8.4 
VelocityShares 3x Long Crude Oil ETNs linked to the SP GSCI Crude Oil Index ER 0.09 1 per month 1.98  0.34 (3.94)  7.39 (2.16)  15.65 
DB Gold Double Long ETN(0.6) 1 per month 1.06 (0.0257) (1.17)  2.22 (1.61)  3.69 
VelocityShares 3x Long Gold ETN(0.01) 1 per month 1.52  0.0051 (1.23)  2.49 (2.59)  5.08 
ProShares Ultra Gold(0.45) 1 per month 1.12 (0.0099) (0.7)  1.67 (1.58)  3.26 
UBS ETRACS - ProShares Daily 3x Long Crude ETN 0.99 1 per month 1.89  0.35 (3.91)  7.3 (2.06)  15.15