United States Price Prediction

United States 3x Oil -- USA Etf  

USD 61.42  1.14  1.82%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring United States headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with United States 3x Oil brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With United States hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of United States 3x Oil from the prospective of United States response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on United States over a specific investment horizon. Also please take a look at United States Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

United States After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline

United States Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

April 23, 2018
61.42
Current Value
61.19
After-hype Price
Target Price Odds
 Above  Below  
76.55
Upside
United States is not very risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of United States 3x is based on 2 months time horizon.

United States Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.63% 5.12% 0.23%  0.16% 1 Events / Month1 Events / MonthVery soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
61.4261.190.37%
1,379% 

United States Hype Timeline

United States 3x Oil is at this time traded for61.42. This company has historical hype elasticity of -0.23 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.16. United States 3x Oil is projected to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 61.19. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 1378.57%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.37% where as daily expected return is at this time at 0.63%. The volatility of related hype on United States is about 2072.69% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 61.58. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be very soon.
Also please take a look at United States Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

United States Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ProShares K 1 Free Crude Oil Strategy(0.059999) 1 per month 0.94  0.10  2.55 (1.93)  5.85 
iPath Global Carbon ETN 0.34 1 per month 2.32  0.29  6.87 (3.47)  18.48 
iPath Bloomberg Energy SubTR ETN 0.01 1 per month 1.96  0.0711  3.70 (1.79)  10.28 
iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF 0.00 0 per month 0.80  0.16  1.07 (1.48)  3.13 
iShares MSCI Spain Capped ETF 0.00 0 per month 0.96  0.11  1.15 (1.45)  4.05 
iShares TIPS Bond ETF 0.09 1 per month 0.11  0.52  0.37 (0.28)  0.67 
Walmart 1.84 2 per month 0.00 (0.16)  1.90 (2.75)  10.18 
Intel Corporation 0.00 0 per month 2.13  0.16  4.21 (3.11)  12.39 
E I du Pont de Nemours and Company 0.00 3 per month 0.00  0.13  0.00  0.00  236.93 

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Also please take a look at United States Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try World Markets Correlation module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.