United States Price Prediction

United States 3x Oil Fund -- USA Etf  

USD 29.6  0.58  2%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring United States headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with United States 3x Oil Fund brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With United States hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of United States 3x Oil Fund from the prospective of United States response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on United States over a specific investment horizon. Also please take a look at United States Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Investment Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

United States estimiated after-hype price volatility

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline
October 23, 2017
29.6
Current Value
Downside upside
29.6
After-hype Price
Target Price Odds
 Above  Below  
40.97
Upside
Upside upside
United States is not very risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of United States 3x is based on 1 month time horizon.

United States Hype Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.13% 3.79% 0.00%  0.01% 1 Events / Month1 Events / MonthVery soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
29.629.60.00%
13,782% 

United States Hype Timeline

United States 3x Oil Fund is at this time traded for 29.6 . This company stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.01. United States 3x Oil Fund is projected not to react to the next headline with price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of 13781.82%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small where as daily expected return is at this time at -0.13%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to United States is about 5592.72%%. The volatility of related hype on United States is about 5592.72% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 29.61. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be very soon.
Also please take a look at United States Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

United States Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Expected
Short fall
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
UBS ETRACS CMCI Agriculture Tot Ret ETN 0.38 1 per month 4.01 (0.015) (4.76)  7.9 (10)  19.86 
Direxion Daily Mid Cap Bear 3X ETF(0.04) 1 per month 0.00 (0.81)  0.00  0.58 (2.29)  3.02 
ProShares UltraShort Health Care 0.0366 1 per month 0.00 (0.29)  0.00  1.01 (2.13)  4.51 
Teucrium Natural Gas ETV 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
ProShares UltraShort Technology 0.03 1 per month 0.00 (0.56)  0.00  1.27 (1.9)  5.76 
ProShares Trust ProShares UltraShort Russell1000 Growth 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.36)  0.00  2.82 (7.84)  17.2