United States Price Prediction

United States 3x Oil Fund -- USA Etf  

USD 52.02  1.04  1.96%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring United States headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with United States 3x Oil Fund brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With United States hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of United States 3x Oil Fund from the prospective of United States response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on United States over a specific investment horizon. Also please take a look at United States Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

United States Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

 Next price density 
Expected price to next headline
January 20, 2018
Current Value
Downside upside
After-hype Price
Target Price Odds
 Above  Below  
Upside upside
United States is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of United States 3x is based on 1 month time horizon.

United States Hype Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 1.51% 3.89% 3.35%  0.21% 2 Events / Month0 Events / MonthIn a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility

United States Hype Timeline

United States 3x Oil Fund is at this time traded for52.02. This company has historical hype elasticity of 3.35 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.21. United States 3x Oil Fund is projected to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 55.37. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 175.23%. The price appreciation on the next news is estimated to be 6.44% where as daily expected return is at this time at 1.51%. The volatility of related hype on United States is about 2778.57% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 51.81. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be in a few days.
Also please take a look at United States Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

United States Related Hype Analysis

Short fall
At Risk
ProShares Ultra Silver(0.53) 1 per month 0.54  0.15 (1.61)  2.98 (1.45)  5.42 
VelocityShares 3x Long Crude Oil ETNs linked to the SP GSCI Crude Oil Index ER 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.44  0.00  7.02 (1.69)  9.63 
VelocityShares 3x Long Gold ETN(0.18) 1 per month 0.5  0.32 (1.53)  3.32 (1.3)  6.21 
DB Gold Double Long ETN 0.00 0 per month 0.04  0.23 (1.07)  2.24 (1.01)  4.16 
ProShares Ultra Gold(0.13) 1 per month 0.00  0.23 (1.04)  2.26 (0.96)  4.02 
UBS ETRACS - ProShares Daily 3x Long Crude ETN 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.46  0.00  6.52 (1.58)  8.77