United States Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

USOU -- USA Etf  

USD 55.08  5.93  9.72%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring United States headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with United States 3x Oil brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With United States hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of United States 3x Oil from the prospective of United States response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on United States over a specific investment horizon. Also please take a look at United States Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

United States After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline

United States Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

August 16, 2018
55.08
Current Value
55.08
After-hype Price
Target Odds
  
66.66
Upside
United States is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of United States 3x is based on 1 month time horizon.

United States Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.43% 3.86% 0.00%  0.02% 0 Events / Month0 Events / MonthAny time
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
55.0855.080.00%
0.00% 

United States Hype Timeline

United States 3x Oil is at this time traded for55.08. This company stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.02. United States 3x Oil is projected not to react to the next headline with price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of 0.0%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small where as daily expected return is at this time at -0.43%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to United States is about 8212.77%%. The volatility of related hype on United States is about 8212.77% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 55.06. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be any time.
Also please take a look at United States Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

United States Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
United States Oil 0.00 0 per month 1.37  0.0121  1.54 (1.79)  5.12 
VelocityShares 3x Invrs Crude Oil ETNNew 0.06 1 per month 0.00 (0.0192)  5.30 (4.89)  13.63 
ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Crude Oil 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.0228)  3.43 (3.14)  9.01 
VelocityShares 3x Lng Crude Oil ETN New(0.53) 1 per month 4.08  0.009  4.63 (5.25)  14.75 
United States 12 Month Oil 0.00 0 per month 1.26  0.09  1.31 (1.62)  4.62 
United States Gasoline 0.00 0 per month 1.60  0.1  1.72 (1.84)  5.54 
ELEMENTS Rogers Intl Cmdty Energy TR ETN 0.00 0 per month 1.44  0.08  1.49 (2.72)  4.70 
ProShares UltraPro 3x Shrt Crude Oil ETF 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.0233)  5.17 (4.87)  13.61 
UBS ETRACS SP GSCI Crd OilTtl Rt ETN 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.14)  0.96 (1.52)  8.86 
UBS ETRACS ProShares Dly 3x Lng Crud ETN 0.00 0 per month 4.51  0.0082  5.41 (5.77)  15.54 

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Also please take a look at United States Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.