VelocityShares 3x Risk Analysis

VelocityShares 3x Long Crude Oil ETNs linked to the SP GSCI Crude Oil Index ER -- USA Etf  

USD 16.61  0.03  0.18%

Macroaxis considers VelocityShares 3x relatively volatile given 1 month investment horizon. VelocityShares 3x Long owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e. Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0993 which indicates VelocityShares 3x Long had 0.0993% of return per unit of risk over the last 1 month. Our philosophy towards measuring volatility of a etf is to use all available market data together with company specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for VelocityShares 3x Long Crude Oil ETNs linked to the SP GSCI Crude Oil Index ER which you can use to evaluate future volatility of the etf. Please operate VelocityShares 3x Semi Deviation of 3.38, Coefficient Of Variation of 1108.56 and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0303 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations.
Investment Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

VelocityShares 3x Market Sensitivity

As returns on market increase, returns on owning VelocityShares 3x are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, VelocityShares 3x is likely to outperform the market.
One Month Beta |Analyze VelocityShares 3x Long Demand Trend
Check current 30 days VelocityShares 3x correlation with market (DOW)
β = -0.2562
VelocityShares 3x Almost negative betaVelocityShares 3x Long Beta Legend

Projected Return Density Against Market

Considering 30-days investment horizon, VelocityShares 3x Long Crude Oil ETNs linked to the SP GSCI Crude Oil Index ER has beta of -0.2562 . This entails as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding VelocityShares 3x are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, VelocityShares 3x Long Crude Oil ETNs linked to the SP GSCI Crude Oil Index ER is likely to outperform the market. Moreover, VelocityShares 3x Long Crude Oil ETNs linked to the SP GSCI Crude Oil Index ER has an alpha of 0.4009 implying that it can potentially generate 0.4009% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Predicted Return Density 
      Returns 
Considering 30-days investment horizon, the coefficient of variation of VelocityShares 3x is 1007.14. The daily returns are destributed with a variance of 17.5 and standard deviation of 4.18. The mean deviation of VelocityShares 3x Long Crude Oil ETNs linked to the SP GSCI Crude Oil Index ER is currently at 3.09. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (DOW) has volatility of 0.23
α
Alpha over DOW
= 0.4 
βBeta against DOW=(0.26) 
σ
Overall volatility
= 4.18 
 IrInformation ratio = 0.0571 

Actual Return Volatility

VelocityShares 3x Long Crude Oil ETNs linked to the SP GSCI Crude Oil Index ER has volatility of 4.1837% on return distribution over 30 days investment horizon. DOW inherits 0.2342% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 30 days horizon.
 Performance (%) 
      Timeline 

Market Risk Breakdown

VelocityShares 3x Volatility Factors

30 Days Market Risk

Relatively volatile

Chance of Distress in 24 months

30 Days Economic Sensitivity

Almost neglects market

Largest Trends

VelocityShares 3x Largest Period Trend

Investment Outlook

VelocityShares 3x Investment Opportunity
VelocityShares 3x Long Crude Oil ETNs linked to the SP GSCI Crude Oil Index ER has a volatility of 4.18 and is 18.17 times more volatile than DOW. 39% of all equities and portfolios are less risky than VelocityShares 3x. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of VelocityShares 3x Long Crude Oil ETNs linked to the SP GSCI Crude Oil Index ER is lower than 39 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 30 days. Use VelocityShares 3x Long Crude Oil ETNs linked to the SP GSCI Crude Oil Index ER to enhance returns of your portfolios. The etf experiences normal upward fluctuation. Check odds of VelocityShares 3x to be traded at $17.44 in 30 days. As returns on market increase, returns on owning VelocityShares 3x are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, VelocityShares 3x is likely to outperform the market.

VelocityShares 3x correlation with market

Good diversification
Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding VelocityShares 3x Long Crude O and equity matching DJI index in the same portfolio.

Volatility Indicators

VelocityShares 3x Current Risk Indicators