Visa Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

V -- USA Stock  

USD 135.09  2.45  1.78%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Visa which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Visa hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Visa from the prospective of Visa response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Visa over a specific investment horizon. Also please take a look at Visa Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Visa After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Visa Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

December 15, 2018
135.09
Current Value
129.13
Downside
135.37
After-hype Price
Target Odds
  
141.61
Upside
Visa is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Visa is based on 2 months time horizon.

Visa Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.09% 2.08% 0.28%  0.04% 5 Events / Month7 Events / MonthIn about 5 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
135.09135.370.21%
67.97% 

Visa Hype Timeline

As of December 15, 2018 Visa is listed for 135.09. This company has historical hype elasticity of 0.28 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. Visa is expected to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 135.37. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 67.97%. The price increase on the next news is estimated to be 0.21% where as daily expected return is at this time at -0.09%. The volatility of related hype on Visa is about 461.2% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 135.13. The company reported annual revenue of 20.61B. Net Income to common stockholders was 9.94B with gross profit before all taxes, overhead, and interest of 19.92B. Taking into account the 30 trading days horizon, the next expected press release will be in about 5 days.
Also please take a look at Visa Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Visa Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Genpact Limited(0.45) 8 per month 0.00  0.0357  2.88 (2.91)  11.17 
Visa 3.06 5 per month 0.00  0.0434  3.83 (3.49)  9.05 
Broadridge Financial Solutions 0.30 9 per month 0.00 (0.12)  3.68 (3.40)  12.86 
Bazaarvoice(0.18) 5 per month 0.00 (0.11)  4.51 (5.51)  20.66 
Worldpay 0.00 0 per month 1.08  0.10  2.56 (1.79)  6.38 
Verisk Analytics 0.69 8 per month 1.58  0.08  2.51 (3.01)  6.41 
Euronet Worldwide 0.57 9 per month 0.00 (0.0176)  2.84 (3.25)  6.87 
Excel Corporation 0.00 5 per month 0.00  0.13  0.00  0.00  18.64 
ExlService Holdings(0.07) 7 per month 0.00 (0.0288)  2.83 (4.14)  10.16 
Exponent 0.59 8 per month 1.78  0.12  2.98 (3.72)  8.05 

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Also please take a look at Visa Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.
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