Visa Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

V -- USA Stock  

USD 135.10  0.10  0.07%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring Visa headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Visa brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Visa hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Visa from the prospective of Visa response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Visa over a specific investment horizon. Also please take a look at Visa Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Visa After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline

Visa Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

June 17, 2018
135.10
Current Value
Downside
131.96
134.60
After-hype Price
Target Odds
  
137.24
Upside
Visa is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Visa is based on 1 month time horizon.

Visa Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.20% 0.88% 0.50%  0.02% 4 Events / Month5 Events / MonthIn about 4 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
135.10134.600.37%
34.92% 

Visa Hype Timeline

As of June 17, 2018 Visa is listed for 135.10. This company has historical hype elasticity of -0.5 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Visa is expected to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 134.6. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 34.92%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.37% where as daily expected return is at this time at 0.2%. The volatility of related hype on Visa is about 967.03% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 135.08. About 95.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.65. Visa last dividend was issued on 2018-05-17. This company had 4:1 split on 2015-03-19. Taking into account the 30 trading days horizon, the next expected press release will be in about 4 days.
Also please take a look at Visa Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Visa Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
FleetCor Technologies(6.93) 6 per month 1.55  0.07  1.31 (1.94)  5.19 
Ecolab 1.60 5 per month 0.00 (0.0391)  1.36 (1.01)  2.59 
Convergys Corporation(0.34) 4 per month 0.72  0.19  1.67 (1.35)  3.32 
Visa(2.52) 4 per month 0.58  0.17  1.70 (1.21)  3.83 
58(1.24) 6 per month 0.00 (0.20)  1.74 (2.53)  5.82 
Fidelity National Information Services 0.67 6 per month 0.69  0.13  1.24 (1.04)  3.44 
Verisk Analytics 0.48 5 per month 0.27  0.31  1.54 (0.78)  3.06 
Worldpay 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.1)  0.40 (1.79)  5.06 
Automatic Data Processing 1.04 7 per month 0.00  0.36  2.08 (0.94)  4.26 
Alliance Data Systems Corporation 6.33 5 per month 0.00  0.41  2.59 (1.16)  3.69 

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Also please take a look at Visa Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.