Visa Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

V -- USA Stock  

USD 147.42  1.82  1.22%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Visa which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Visa hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Visa from the prospective of Visa response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Visa over a specific investment horizon. Also please take a look at Visa Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Visa After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
Expected price to next headline

Visa Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

September 22, 2018
Current Value
After-hype Price
Target Odds
Visa is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Visa is based on 1 month time horizon.

Visa Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.22% 1.06% 0.27%  0.03% 2 Events / Month2 Events / MonthIn a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility

Visa Hype Timeline

As of September 22, 2018 Visa is listed for 147.42. This company has historical hype elasticity of 0.27 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Visa is expected to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 147.69. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 87.6%. The price increase on the next news is estimated to be 0.18% where as daily expected return is at this time at 0.22%. The volatility of related hype on Visa is about 688.31% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 147.45. The company reported annual revenue of 20.03 B. Net Income to common stockholders was 9.26 B with gross profit before all taxes, overhead, and interest of 17.74 B. Taking into account the 30 trading days horizon, the next expected press release will be in a few days.
Also please take a look at Visa Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Visa Related Hype Analysis

At Risk
Genpact Limited(0.18) 3 per month 0.55 (0.15)  1.49 (0.88)  2.61 
Visa 1.21 2 per month 0.00  0.0028  1.28 (1.12)  4.96 
Broadridge Financial Solutions 0.04 3 per month 1.15 (0.17)  1.53 (1.99)  3.81 
Bazaarvoice(0.36) 1 per month 0.00 (0.16)  2.65 (2.74)  6.99 
Worldpay 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.29)  0.40 (1.79)  5.06 
Verisk Analytics(0.03) 5 per month 0.21 (0.19)  0.71 (0.79)  1.70 
Eco Tek 360 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.10  60.00 (36.25)  97.50 
Euronet Worldwide 0.97 3 per month 0.00  0.28  1.43 (0.26)  1.73 
ExlService Holdings(0.86) 6 per month 0.26  0.17  2.04 (1.17)  5.37 
Exponent 0.75 4 per month 0.99 (0.14)  1.40 (1.58)  3.40 

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Also please take a look at Visa Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.