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Vanguard risk analysis

 
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Vanguard Extended Ma

Fund@NASDAQ Stock Exchange 
United States USD
 
1.81 times
    
Macroaxis considers Vanguard relatively not risky. Vanguard Extended Ma owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e. Sharpe Ratio) of -0.09 which indicates Vanguard Extended Ma had -0.09% of return per unit of risk over the last 1 month. Macroaxis philosophy towards measuring risk of any fund is to look at both systematic and un-systematic factors of the business, including all available market data and technical indicators. Vanguard Extended Market Idx Inv exposes twenty-one different technical indicators which can help you to evaluate volatility that cannot be diversified away. Please be advised to validate Vanguard Semi-Deviation of 1.12, Coefficient Of Variation of (1,054) and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.08) to make sure to check risk estimate we provide.
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Investment horizon: 
  30 Days    Login   to change

Projected Return Density against Market

Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the fund has beta cooficient of 1.04 . This entails Vanguard Extended Market Idx Inv market returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market benchmark goes up or down, Vanguard is expected to follow. In addition to that, Vanguard Extended Market Idx Inv has alpha of 1.04 implying that it can potentially generate 1.04% excess return over S&P 500 after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
Predicted Return Density
 
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Returns   
S&P 500   Vanguard   
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the coefficient of variation of Vanguard is -1053.99. The daily returns are destributed with a variance of 0.87 and standard deviation of 0.93. The mean deviation of Vanguard Extended Market Idx Inv is currently at 0.76. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (S&P 500) has volatility of 0.84
alpha for Vanguard Extended Market Idx Inv(alpha)= 1.04 
beta for Vanguard Extended Market Idx Inv(beta) = 1.04 
volatility for Vanguard Extended Market Idx Inv(volatility) = 0.93 

Actual Return Volatility

Vanguard Extended Market Idx Inv shows 0.93% volatility of returns over 30 trading days. S&P 500 shows 0.84% volatility of returns over 30 trading days.
Daily Returns (%)
Market   Equity   
 
Change Benchmark  Embed  Export  Timeline
    
June 05 2013
 52.43 
  
 52.43 
0.00  No Change   0.00%  
Lowest period price (30 days)
May 21 2013
 54.66 
  
 54.66 
0.00  No Change   0.00%  
Highest period price (30 days)
    
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Vanguard Extended Market Idx Inv has a volatility of 0.93 and is 1.11 times more volatile than S&P 500. 11% of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Vanguard. Compared with the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Vanguard Extended Market Idx Inv is lower than 11 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 30 days. Use Vanguard Extended Market Idx Inv to enhance returns of your portfolios. The fund experiences moderate upward volatility. Vanguard returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As market goes up or down, Vanguard is expected to follow.

Vanguard correlation with market

Almost no diversification
Overlapping area represents amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Vanguard Extended Market Idx I and equity matching GSPC index in the same portfolio

Vanguard Current Risk Indicators

Risk Adjusted Performance(0.08)
Market Risk Adjusted Performance(0.08)
Mean Deviation0.7569
Semi-Deviation1.12
Downside Deviation1.08
Coefficient Of Variation(1,054)
Standard Deviation0.9306

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