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Greencastle risk analysis

 
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Greencastle Resources

Stock@TSX Venture Exchange 
Canada CAD
     
Use Greencastle Resources Ltd (#B03CR01CA) risk analysis together with your other stock asset holdings to protect against small markets fluctuations as well as to check it against diversification policy that fits your risk preferences.  Optimize Portfolio
Investment horizon: 
  30 Days    Login   to change

Projected Return Density against Market

Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Greencastle Resources Ltd has beta of -1.35 . This entails as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Greencastle Resources Ltd are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Greencastle is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally, Greencastle Resources Ltd has negative alpha implying that risk taken by holding this securing is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming Canada Composite
Predicted Return Density
 
Returns   
Canada Composite   Greencastle   
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the coefficient of variation of Greencastle is -990.83. The daily returns are destributed with a variance of 25.56 and standard deviation of 5.06. The mean deviation of Greencastle Resources Ltd is currently at 2.28. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Canada Composite) has volatility of 0.67
alpha for Greencastle Resources Ltd(alpha)=(1.35)
beta for Greencastle Resources Ltd(beta) =(1.35)
volatility for Greencastle Resources Ltd(volatility) = 5.06 

Actual Return Volatility

Greencastle Resources Ltd shows 5.06% volatility of returns over 30 trading days. Canada Composite accepts 0.67% volatility on return distribution over the 30 days horizon.
Daily Returns (%)
Market   Equity   
 
    
April 23 2013
 0.07 
  
 0.07 
0.00  No Change   0.00%  
Lowest period price (30 days)
April 19 2013
 0.07 
  
 0.08 
0.0100  Macroaxis: 14.285714285714276 Up   14.29%  
Highest period price (30 days)
    
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Greencastle Resources Ltd has a volatility of 5.06 and is 7.55 times more volatile than Canada Composite. 66% of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Greencastle. Compared with the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Greencastle Resources Ltd is higher than 66 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 30 days. Use Greencastle Resources Ltd to protect against small markets fluctuations. The stock experiences little momentum. The pattern is not really predictable. Watch out for false signals. As returns on market increase, returns on owning Greencastle are expected to decrease by larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoil, Greencastle is expected to significantly outperform it.

Greencastle correlation with market

Good diversification
Overlapping area represents amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Greencastle Resources Ltd. and equity matching GSPTSE index in the same portfolio

Greencastle Current Risk Indicators

Risk Adjusted Performance(0.06)
Market Risk Adjusted Performance0.3953
Mean Deviation2.28
Semi-Deviation0.0
Downside Deviation0.0
Coefficient Of Variation(991)
Standard Deviation5.06

Suggested Divercification Pairs

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