Verint Systems Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

VRNT -- USA Stock  

USD 48.40  1.00  2.02%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Verint Systems which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Verint Systems hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Verint Systems from the prospective of Verint Systems response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Verint Systems over a specific investment horizon. Also please take a look at Verint Systems Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Verint Systems After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline

Verint Systems Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

September 25, 2018
48.40
Current Value
48.36
After-hype Price
Target Odds
  
56.25
Upside
Verint Systems is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Verint Systems is based on 1 month time horizon.

Verint Systems Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.08% 2.63% 0.04%  0.00% 5 Events / Month6 Events / MonthIn about 5 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
48.4048.360.08%
526.00% 

Verint Systems Hype Timeline

Verint Systems is at this time traded for48.40. This company has historical hype elasticity of -0.04 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Verint Systems is projected to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 48.36. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 526.0%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.08% where as daily expected return is at this time at 0.08%. The volatility of related hype on Verint Systems is about 4534.48% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 48.4. About 99.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Verint Systems was at this time reported as 17.98. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.49. Verint Systems had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be in about 5 days.
Also please take a look at Verint Systems Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Verint Systems Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
SAP SE 1.75 6 per month 1.17 (0.014)  2.54 (1.45)  7.11 
Salesforce 2.53 5 per month 1.27 (0.0291)  1.70 (1.99)  4.16 
Red Hat 3.02 5 per month 0.00 (0.14)  2.24 (3.49)  9.12 
Shopify(2.22) 5 per month 1.83  0.22  4.85 (4.17)  11.32 
Splunk 0.55 5 per month 0.00 (0.21)  1.90 (4.05)  9.85 
Ansys(5.77) 6 per month 1.28  0.0359  2.12 (1.63)  5.28 
Akamai Technologies(0.39) 6 per month 0.00 (0.15)  1.51 (1.40)  5.01 
Tableau Software(0.55) 4 per month 1.97  0.10  3.45 (4.06)  8.83 
Tyler Technologies 1.34 4 per month 0.00 (0.05)  1.07 (1.25)  5.80 
Trend Micro Incorporated(0.84) 2 per month 1.86 (0.07)  3.08 (2.10)  8.68 

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Also please take a look at Verint Systems Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolio or rebalance existing positions based on mean-variance optimization algorithm.
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