500 Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

WBAI -- USA Stock  

USD 13.94  0.11  0.78%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring 500 headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with 500 Limited brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With 500 hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of 500 Limited from the prospective of 500 response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on 500 over a specific investment horizon. See also 500 Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

500 After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline

500 Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

July 19, 2018
13.94
Current Value
13.91
After-hype Price
Target Odds
  
23.21
Upside
500 is moderately volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of 500 Limited is based on 1 month time horizon.

500 Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.43% 3.10% 0.17%  0.56% 3 Events / Month6 Events / MonthIn about 3 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
13.9413.911.00%
794.87% 

500 Hype Timeline

500 Limited is at this time traded for13.94. This company has historical hype elasticity of -0.17 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.56. 500 Limited is projected to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 13.91. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 794.87%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -1.0% where as daily expected return is at this time at -0.43%. The volatility of related hype on 500 is about 237.18% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 14.5. About 26.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The book value of 500 Limited was at this time reported as 4.99. The company recorded loss per share of 1.17. 500 Limited had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be in about 3 days.
See also 500 Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

500 Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
iQIYI 2.84 4 per month 0.00 (0.13)  9.58 (12.05)  22.93 
Vail Resorts 0.58 4 per month 1.15 (0.05)  1.48 (1.65)  2.96 
World Wrestling Entertainment 2.56 2 per month 0.40  0.43  4.94 (2.06)  8.45 
LATAM Airlines Group S A 0.11 4 per month 0.00 (0.15)  3.52 (3.59)  8.27 
Six Flags Entertainment Corporation 2.03 4 per month 0.00 (0.24)  1.08 (2.09)  3.27 
Churchill Downs Incorporated 6.15 5 per month 1.82 (0.043)  1.79 (2.06)  4.79 
Cedar Fair L P(1.00) 3 per month 0.00 (0.24)  1.73 (1.92)  9.94 
AMC Entertainment Holdings 0.05 4 per month 2.27  0.0049  3.61 (3.49)  8.29 
International Speedway Corporation(0.55) 4 per month 0.00 (0.16)  1.13 (1.51)  4.25 
The Marcus Corporation 0.30 5 per month 0.94 (0.07)  1.54 (1.51)  3.21 

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See also 500 Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of macroaxis ideas.