Workday Price Prediction

Workday Inc -- USA Stock  

USD 103.47  0.12  0.12%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring Workday headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Workday Inc brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Workday hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Workday Inc from the prospective of Workday response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Workday over a specific investment horizon. See also Workday Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Investment Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Workday Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline
December 15, 2017
103.47
Current Value
Downside upside
103.55
After-hype Price
Target Price Odds
 Above  Below  
111.08
Upside
Upside upside
Workday is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Workday Inc is based on 1 month time horizon.

Workday Hype Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.11% 2.51% 0.08%  0.01% 2 Events / Month1 Events / MonthIn a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
103.47103.550.08%
353.52% 

Workday Hype Timeline

Workday Inc is at this time traded for 103.47 . This company has historical hype elasticity of 0.08 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Workday Inc is projected to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 103.55. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 353.52%. The price appreciation on the next news is estimated to be 0.08% where as daily expected return is at this time at -0.11%. The volatility of related hype on Workday is about 2063.01% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 103.48. The company reported previous year revenue of 2 B. Net Loss for the year was (343.97 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.09 B. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be in a few days.
See also Workday Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Workday Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Expected
Short fall
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Broadridge Financial Solutions Inc(0.57) 1 per month 1.02 (0.21) (0.65)  1.31 (1.79)  3.13 
CA Inc 0.42 1 per month 0.00 (0.0652) (0.65)  1.5 (0.45)  2.01 
Gartner Inc 0.43 2 per month 0.95 (0.0584) (0.9)  1.66 (1.68)  3.34 
Workday Inc 0.71 2 per month 0.00 (0.15)  0.00  2.71 (3.92)  9.72 
F5 Networks Inc(0.1) 1 per month 0.87  0.11 (1.27)  2.52 (1.11)  6.66 
CDK Global Inc(0.16) 2 per month 0.00  0.0831 (0.84)  1.46 (0.85)  2.52