Wells Fargo Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

WFC -- USA Stock  

USD 54.99  0.73  1.35%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Wells Fargo Company which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Wells Fargo hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Wells Fargo Company from the prospective of Wells Fargo response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Wells Fargo over a specific investment horizon. See also Wells Fargo Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Wells Fargo After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline

Wells Fargo Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

September 25, 2018
54.99
Current Value
54.80
After-hype Price
Target Odds
  
57.59
Upside
Wells Fargo is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Wells Fargo is based on 1 month time horizon.

Wells Fargo Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.42% 0.93% 0.19%  0.13% 7 Events / Month5 Events / MonthIn about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
54.9954.800.35%
202.17% 

Wells Fargo Hype Timeline

On 25 of September Wells Fargo Company is traded for 54.99. This company has historical hype elasticity of -0.19 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.13. Wells Fargo Company is estimated to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 54.8. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 202.17%. The closing price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.35% where as daily expected return is at this time at -0.42%. The volatility of related hype on Wells Fargo is about 302.93% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 55.12. About 78.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.47. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Wells Fargo Company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.32. This company last dividend was issued on 2018-08-09. The firm had 2:1 split on 2006-08-14. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in about 7 days.
See also Wells Fargo Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Wells Fargo Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Regions Financial Corporation(0.05) 4 per month 1.02 (0.13)  1.32 (1.46)  3.48 
First Republic Bank 1.76 3 per month 0.00 (0.34)  1.08 (2.19)  3.47 
SunTrust Banks(0.54) 5 per month 0.00 (0.25)  1.69 (3.81)  5.90 
U S Bancorp(0.02) 5 per month 0.53 (0.17)  0.96 (1.20)  2.16 
Wells Fargo Company(0.46) 7 per month 0.00 (0.55)  0.70 (1.73)  3.21 
Zions Bancorporation 0.48 7 per month 0.00 (0.32)  1.18 (1.27)  2.91 
Caterpillar 1.37 6 per month 0.23  0.21  2.86 (1.52)  4.23 
Johnson Johnson 0.47 5 per month 0.53  0.0241  1.08 (1.25)  3.18 
Merck Co 0.01 6 per month 0.30 (0.025)  1.14 (0.93)  3.77 
JPMorgan Chase Co 0.05 6 per month 0.67 (0.08)  1.51 (1.18)  3.98 

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