Wells Fargo Price Prediction

Wells Fargo Company -- USA Stock  

USD 53.19  0.61  1.13%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring Wells Fargo headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Wells Fargo Company brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Wells Fargo hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Wells Fargo Company from the prospective of Wells Fargo response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Wells Fargo over a specific investment horizon. See also Wells Fargo Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Investment Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Wells Fargo estimiated after-hype price volatility

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline
October 18, 2017
53.19
Current Value
Downside upside
53.16
After-hype Price
Target Price Odds
 Above  Below  
55.98
Upside
Upside upside
Wells Fargo is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Wells Fargo is based on 1 month time horizon.

Wells Fargo Hype Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.04% 0.94% 0.03%  0.07% 1 Events / Month1 Events / MonthVery soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
53.1953.160.06%
118.99% 

Wells Fargo Hype Timeline

On 18 of October Wells Fargo Company is traded for  53.19 . This company has historical hype elasticity of -0.03 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.07. Wells Fargo Company is estimated to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 53.16. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 118.99%. The closing price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.06% where as daily expected return is at this time at 0.04%. The volatility of related hype on Wells Fargo is about 54.44% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 53.12. About 80.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.47. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Wells Fargo Company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.74. This company last dividend was issued on 2017-08-02. The firm had 2:1 split on 2006-08-14. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be very soon.
See also Wells Fargo Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Wells Fargo Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Expected
Short fall
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Citigroup Inc(0.05) 1 per month 1.1 (0.0243) (0.82)  1.89 (0.78)  5.67 
The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation(0.8) 1 per month 0.00  0.11 (0.53)  1.19 (0.32)  1.48 
The Goldman Sachs Group Inc(8.35) 1 per month 0.87  0.0358 (1.07)  2.1 (1.31)  3.7 
Morgan Stanley(0.57) 1 per month 0.5  0.0488 (0.71)  1.33 (1)  2.76 
Regions Financial Corporation(0.18) 1 per month 0.48  0.11 (1.15)  1.59 (1.2)  3.63 
Fifth Third Bancorp(0.41) 1 per month 0.38  0.0633 (0.96)  1.41 (0.84)  2.04