Correlation Between Consumer Discretionary and United States

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Consumer Discretionary and United States at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Consumer Discretionary and United States into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Consumer Discretionary Select and United States Gasoline, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Consumer Discretionary and United States and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Consumer Discretionary with a short position of United States. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Consumer Discretionary and United States.

Diversification Opportunities for Consumer Discretionary and United States

0.21
  Correlation Coefficient

Modest diversification

The 3 months correlation between Consumer and United is 0.21. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Consumer Discretionary Select and United States Gasoline in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on United States Gasoline and Consumer Discretionary is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Consumer Discretionary Select are associated (or correlated) with United States. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of United States Gasoline has no effect on the direction of Consumer Discretionary i.e., Consumer Discretionary and United States go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Consumer Discretionary and United States

Considering the 90-day investment horizon Consumer Discretionary is expected to generate 1.2 times less return on investment than United States. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Consumer Discretionary Select is 1.68 times less risky than United States. It trades about 0.07 of its potential returns per unit of risk. United States Gasoline is currently generating about 0.05 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  5,903  in United States Gasoline on January 26, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,269  from holding United States Gasoline or generate 21.5% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy99.6%
ValuesDaily Returns

Consumer Discretionary Select  vs.  United States Gasoline

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Consumer Discretionary 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

2 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Insignificant
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Consumer Discretionary Select are ranked lower than 2 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong essential indicators, Consumer Discretionary is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
United States Gasoline 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

6 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in United States Gasoline are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat weak technical and fundamental indicators, United States may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in May 2024.

Consumer Discretionary and United States Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Consumer Discretionary and United States

The main advantage of trading using opposite Consumer Discretionary and United States positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Consumer Discretionary position performs unexpectedly, United States can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in United States will offset losses from the drop in United States' long position.
The idea behind Consumer Discretionary Select and United States Gasoline pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.

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