Exxon Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

XOM -- USA Stock  

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We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Exxon Mobil Corporation which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Exxon hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Exxon Mobil Corporation from the prospective of Exxon response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Exxon over a specific investment horizon. See also Exxon Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Exxon After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Exxon Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

November 17, 2019
68.50
Current Value
68.50
After-hype Price
72.40
Upside
Exxon is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Exxon Mobil is based on 3 months time horizon.

Exxon Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.00  1.30% 0.00   0.00  8 Events / Month5 Events / MonthIn about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
68.5068.500.00 
158.54

Exxon Hype Timeline

On 17 of November Exxon Mobil is traded for 68.50. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Exxon Mobil Corporation is estimated not to react to the next headline with price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of 158.54%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small where as daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to Exxon is about 472.73%%. The volatility of related hype on Exxon is about 472.73% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 68.5. About 56.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.57. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Exxon Mobil last dividend was issued on 2019-11-08. The entity had 2:1 split on 2001-07-19. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in about 8 days.
See also Exxon Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Exxon Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Western Midstream Partners LP(0.39) 10 per month 0.00 (0.17)  3.26 (4.54)  11.01 
Pioneer Natural Resources Compa 2.59 9 per month 1.85  0.0085  4.01 (3.40)  10.13 
Southwestern Energy Company 0.05 8 per month 3.91  0.07  8.33 (7.02)  24.34 
Western Gas Equity Partners LP Representing Limited Partner Interests 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
Newfield Exploration Company 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.16)  4.45 (5.05)  19.21 
SM Energy Company(0.11) 6 per month 4.64  0.0084  8.35 (5.81)  48.94 
Range Resources Corporation 0.47 11 per month 4.66  0.0147  10.49 (7.85)  26.36 
Whiting Petroleum Corporation(0.36) 10 per month 0.00 (0.0288)  10.15 (9.59)  65.06 
Anadarko Petroleum Corporation 0.56 1 per month 0.00  0.12  1.09 (0.74)  29,820 
QEP Resources(0.06) 10 per month 6.25 (0.0065)  10.25 (9.50)  38.95 
See also Exxon Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot price ceiling movement for different equity instruments.
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