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Exxon risk analysis

 
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Exxon Mobil

Stock@New York Stock Exchange 
United States USD
     
Use Exxon Mobil Corporation risk analysis within your current portfolio analysis strategies to protect against small markets fluctuations and to find right Stock diversification strategy.  Evaluate Positions
Investment horizon: 
  30 Days    Login   to change

Projected Return Density against Market

Considering 30-days investment horizon, the stock has beta cooficient of 1.18 . This means as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are expected to be negative, Exxon will likely underperform. In addition to that, Exxon Mobil Corporation has alpha of 1.18 implying that it can potentially generate 1.18% excess return over S&P 500 after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
Predicted Return Density
 
Returns   
Exxon   S&P 500   
Considering 30-days investment horizon, the coefficient of variation of Exxon is 374.12. The daily returns are destributed with a variance of 0.81 and standard deviation of 0.9. The mean deviation of Exxon Mobil Corporation is currently at 0.7. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (S&P 500) has volatility of 0.54
alpha for Exxon Mobil Corporation(alpha)= 1.18 
beta for Exxon Mobil Corporation(beta) = 1.18 
volatility for Exxon Mobil Corporation(volatility) = 0.90 

Actual Return Volatility

Exxon Mobil Corporation has volatility of 0.9% on return distribution over 30 days investment horizon. S&P 500 shows 0.54% volatility of returns over 30 trading days.
Daily Returns (%)
Market   Equity   
 
    
May 01 2013
 88.52 
  
 87.51 
(1.01)  Macroaxis: -1.1409850881156698 Down   1.14%  
Lowest period price (30 days)
May 21 2013
 92.67 
  
 92.80 
0.13  Macroaxis: 0.14028272364302952 Up   0.14%  
Highest period price (30 days)
    
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Exxon Mobil Corporation has a volatility of 0.9 and is 1.67 times more volatile than S&P 500. 11% of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Exxon. Compared with the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Exxon Mobil Corporation is lower than 11 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 30 days. Use Exxon Mobil Corporation to protect against small markets fluctuations. The stock experiences normal downward trend, but the immediate impact on correlations cannot be determined at the moment . As market goes up, the company is expected to significantly outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Exxon will likely underperform.

Exxon correlation with market

Poor diversification
Overlapping area represents amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Exxon Mobil Corp. and equity matching GSPC index in the same portfolio

Exxon Current Risk Indicators

Risk Adjusted Performance0.1487
Market Risk Adjusted Performance0.2057
Mean Deviation0.7028
Semi-Deviation0.6614
Downside Deviation1.07
Coefficient Of Variation374.12
Standard Deviation0.9014

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