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Zimplats risk analysis

 
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Zimplats Holdings

Stock@Australian Securities Exchange 
Australia AUD
     
Use Zimplats Holdings Ltd (#GB0061284906AU) risk analysis within your current portfolio analysis strategies to protect against small markets fluctuations and to find right Stock diversification strategy.  Evaluate Positions
Investment horizon: 
  30 Days    Login   to change

Projected Return Density against Market

Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Zimplats has beta of 0.46 . This means as returns on market go up, Zimplats avarage returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Zimplats Holdings Ltd will be expected to be much smaller as well. Moreover, Zimplats Holdings Ltd has alpha of 0.46 implying that it can potentially generate 0.46% excess return over S&P 500 after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
Predicted Return Density
 
Returns   
S&P 500   Zimplats   
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the coefficient of variation of Zimplats is 5074.24. The daily returns are destributed with a variance of 18.65 and standard deviation of 4.32. The mean deviation of Zimplats Holdings Ltd is currently at 1.6. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (S&P 500) has volatility of 0.58
alpha for Zimplats Holdings Ltd(alpha)= 0.46 
beta for Zimplats Holdings Ltd(beta) = 0.46 
volatility for Zimplats Holdings Ltd(volatility) = 4.32 

Actual Return Volatility

Zimplats Holdings Ltd assumes 4.32% volatility of returns over the 30 days investment horizon. S&P 500 shows 0.57% volatility of returns over 30 trading days.
Daily Returns (%)
Market   Equity   
 
    
April 25 2013
 9.00 
  
 9.00 
0.00  No Change   0.00%  
Lowest period price (30 days)
April 30 2013
 10.30 
  
 10.30 
0.00  No Change   0.00%  
Highest period price (30 days)
    
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Zimplats Holdings Ltd has a volatility of 4.32 and is 5.76 times more volatile than All Ords. 57% of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Zimplats. Compared with the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Zimplats Holdings Ltd is higher than 57 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 30 days. Use Zimplats Holdings Ltd to protect against small markets fluctuations. The stock experiences normal downward trend, but the immediate impact on correlations cannot be determined at the moment . As returns on market increase, Zimplats returns are expected to increase less than the market. However during bear market, the loss on holding Zimplats will be expected to be smaller as well.

Zimplats correlation with market

Modest diversification
Overlapping area represents amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Zimplats Holdings Ltd. and equity matching AORD index in the same portfolio

Zimplats Current Risk Indicators

Risk Adjusted Performance0.02
Market Risk Adjusted Performance0.1733
Mean Deviation1.6
Semi-Deviation0.0
Downside Deviation0.0
Coefficient Of Variation5074.24
Standard Deviation4.32

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