HTC Corp (Taiwan) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 56.7
| 2498 Stock | TWD 42.40 0.25 0.59% |
HTC |
HTC Corp Target Price Odds to finish below 56.7
The tendency of HTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under NT$ 56.70 after 90 days |
| 42.40 | 90 days | 56.70 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of HTC Corp to stay under NT$ 56.70 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This HTC Corp probability density function shows the probability of HTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of HTC Corp price to stay between its current price of NT$ 42.40 and NT$ 56.70 at the end of the 90-day period is about 98.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon HTC Corp has a beta of -0.22. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding HTC Corp are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, HTC Corp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally HTC Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. HTC Corp Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for HTC Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as HTC Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of HTC Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
HTC Corp Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. HTC Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the HTC Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold HTC Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of HTC Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.37 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.22 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.70 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.29 |
HTC Corp Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of HTC Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for HTC Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| HTC Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 5.25 B. Net Loss for the year was (3.07 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.64 B. | |
| HTC Corp has accumulated about 39.17 B in cash with (4.5 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 47.84, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 21.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
HTC Corp Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of HTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential HTC Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. HTC Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 824.5 M |
HTC Corp Technical Analysis
HTC Corp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. HTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of HTC Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing HTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
HTC Corp Predictive Forecast Models
HTC Corp's time-series forecasting models is one of many HTC Corp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary HTC Corp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about HTC Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about HTC Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for HTC Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| HTC Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 5.25 B. Net Loss for the year was (3.07 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.64 B. | |
| HTC Corp has accumulated about 39.17 B in cash with (4.5 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 47.84, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 21.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Check out HTC Corp Backtesting, HTC Corp Valuation, HTC Corp Correlation, HTC Corp Hype Analysis, HTC Corp Volatility, HTC Corp History as well as HTC Corp Performance. You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.
Complementary Tools for HTC Stock analysis
When running HTC Corp's price analysis, check to measure HTC Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy HTC Corp is operating at the current time. Most of HTC Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of HTC Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move HTC Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of HTC Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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