Pan Asia (Taiwan) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 10.1

4707 Stock  TWD 13.90  0.10  0.71%   
Pan Asia's future price is the expected price of Pan Asia instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Pan Asia Chemical performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Pan Asia Backtesting, Pan Asia Valuation, Pan Asia Correlation, Pan Asia Hype Analysis, Pan Asia Volatility, Pan Asia History as well as Pan Asia Performance.
  
Please specify Pan Asia's target price for which you would like Pan Asia odds to be computed.

Pan Asia Target Price Odds to finish over 10.1

The tendency of Pan Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above NT$ 10.10  in 90 days
 13.90 90 days 10.10 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pan Asia to stay above NT$ 10.10  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Pan Asia Chemical probability density function shows the probability of Pan Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Pan Asia Chemical price to stay between NT$ 10.10  and its current price of NT$13.9 at the end of the 90-day period is over 95.34 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Pan Asia has a beta of 0.2. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Pan Asia average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Pan Asia Chemical will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Pan Asia Chemical has an alpha of 0.1012, implying that it can generate a 0.1 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Pan Asia Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Pan Asia

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pan Asia Chemical. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Pan Asia's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.8513.9014.95
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.6013.6514.70
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.4413.5014.55
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13.5613.8514.14
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Pan Asia. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Pan Asia's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Pan Asia's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Pan Asia Chemical.

Pan Asia Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pan Asia is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pan Asia's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pan Asia Chemical, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pan Asia within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.10
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.20
σ
Overall volatility
0.53
Ir
Information ratio 0

Pan Asia Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pan Asia for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pan Asia Chemical can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company has accumulated 653 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.46, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Pan Asia Chemical has a current ratio of 0.44, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Pan Asia until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Pan Asia's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Pan Asia Chemical sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Pan to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Pan Asia's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 59.0% of Pan Asia shares are owned by insiders or employees

Pan Asia Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Pan Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Pan Asia's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pan Asia's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding328 M

Pan Asia Technical Analysis

Pan Asia's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pan Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pan Asia Chemical. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pan Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Pan Asia Predictive Forecast Models

Pan Asia's time-series forecasting models is one of many Pan Asia's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Pan Asia's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Pan Asia Chemical

Checking the ongoing alerts about Pan Asia for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Pan Asia Chemical help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company has accumulated 653 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.46, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Pan Asia Chemical has a current ratio of 0.44, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Pan Asia until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Pan Asia's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Pan Asia Chemical sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Pan to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Pan Asia's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 59.0% of Pan Asia shares are owned by insiders or employees
Check out Pan Asia Backtesting, Pan Asia Valuation, Pan Asia Correlation, Pan Asia Hype Analysis, Pan Asia Volatility, Pan Asia History as well as Pan Asia Performance.
You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.

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When running Pan Asia's price analysis, check to measure Pan Asia's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Pan Asia is operating at the current time. Most of Pan Asia's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Pan Asia's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Pan Asia's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Pan Asia to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Pan Asia's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Pan Asia is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Pan Asia's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.