Ate Energy (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 39.95
| 6179 Stock | TWD 31.85 0.05 0.16% |
Ate |
Ate Energy Target Price Odds to finish below 39.95
The tendency of Ate Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under NT$ 39.95 after 90 days |
| 31.85 | 90 days | 39.95 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ate Energy to stay under NT$ 39.95 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Ate Energy International probability density function shows the probability of Ate Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ate Energy International price to stay between its current price of NT$ 31.85 and NT$ 39.95 at the end of the 90-day period is about 84.81 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ate Energy has a beta of 0.95. This suggests Ate Energy International market returns are correlated to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Ate Energy is expected to follow. Additionally Ate Energy International has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Ate Energy Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Ate Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ate Energy International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ate Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Ate Energy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ate Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ate Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ate Energy International, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ate Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.95 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.74 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.007 |
Ate Energy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ate Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ate Energy International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Ate Energy has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Ate Energy International has accumulated about 424.06 M in cash with (538.99 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 5.72. | |
| Roughly 39.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Ate Energy Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ate Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ate Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ate Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 88.1 M |
Ate Energy Technical Analysis
Ate Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ate Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ate Energy International. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ate Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Ate Energy Predictive Forecast Models
Ate Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ate Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ate Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Ate Energy International
Checking the ongoing alerts about Ate Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ate Energy International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Ate Energy has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Ate Energy International has accumulated about 424.06 M in cash with (538.99 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 5.72. | |
| Roughly 39.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Check out Ate Energy Backtesting, Ate Energy Valuation, Ate Energy Correlation, Ate Energy Hype Analysis, Ate Energy Volatility, Ate Energy History as well as Ate Energy Performance. You can also try the AI Portfolio Architect module to use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities.
Complementary Tools for Ate Stock analysis
When running Ate Energy's price analysis, check to measure Ate Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ate Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Ate Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ate Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ate Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ate Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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