American Airlines Probability of Target Price Finishing Over

American Airlines Group -- USA Stock  

USD 47.00  0.32  0.69%

American Airlines probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of American Airlines Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify American Airlines time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like American Airlines odds to be computed. Check also American Airlines Backtesting, American Airlines Valuation, American Airlines Correlation, American Airlines Hype Analysis, American Airlines Volatility, American Airlines History as well as American Airlines Performance.
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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American Airlines Target Price Odds to finish over

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceAbove OddsBelow Odds
 47.00 30 days 47.00  about 92.39% about 7.54%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of American Airlines to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 92.39% (This American Airlines Group probability density function shows the probability of American Airlines Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
Considering 30-days investment horizon, American Airlines has beta of 0.1479 . This suggests as returns on market go up, American Airlines average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding American Airlines Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally American Airlines Group has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
92.0%
Odds to move above current price in 30 days
 American Airlines Price Density 
 
      
Current Price   Target Price   
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.21
β
Beta against DOW=0.15
σ
Overall volatility
=3.29
Ir
Information ratio =0.08

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