American Airlines Probability of Target Price

American Airlines probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of American Airlines Group Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify American Airlines time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like American Airlines odds to be computed. Check also American Airlines Backtesting, American Airlines Valuation, American Airlines Correlation, American Airlines Hype Analysis, American Airlines Volatility, American Airlines History as well as American Airlines Performance
Investment Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Odds Analysis

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceAbove OddsBelow Odds
 48.63 30 days 48.64  about 67.69% about 31.86%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of American Airlines to stay under  48.64  after 30 days from now is about 31.86%. Probability of American Airlines Group price to stay between its current price of  48.63  and  48.64  at the end of the 30-day period is near 1%.
Considering 30-days investment horizon, American Airlines has beta of 0.0 . This suggests unless we do not have required data, the returns on DOW and American Airlines are completely uncorrelated. Additionally American Airlines Group IncIt does not look like American Airlines alpha can have any bearing on the equity current valuation.
32.0%
Odds to stay under  48.64  after 30 days
 American Airlines Price Density 
 
 Prices     
Current Price   Target Price   
α
Alpha over DOW
= 0.00 
βBeta against DOW= 0.00 
σ
Overall volatility
= 1.03 
 IrInformation ratio = 0.13