American Airlines Probability of Target Price Finishing Above 50.57275

American Airlines Group Inc -- USA Stock  

USD 55.17  0.23  0.42%

American Airlines probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of American Airlines Group Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify American Airlines time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like American Airlines odds to be computed. Check also American Airlines Backtesting, American Airlines Valuation, American Airlines Correlation, American Airlines Hype Analysis, American Airlines Volatility, American Airlines History as well as American Airlines Performance
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
Refresh Odds

American Airlines Target Price Odds to finish below 50.57275

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceAbove OddsBelow Odds
 55.17 30 days 50.57  about 98.0% about 1.67%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of American Airlines to drop to $ 50.57  or more in 30 days from now is about 1.67%. Probability of American Airlines Group price to stay between $ 50.57  and its current price of $55.17 at the end of the 30-day period is about 77.45%.
Considering 30-days investment horizon, American Airlines Group Inc has beta of -0.3935 . This suggests as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding American Airlines are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, American Airlines Group Inc is likely to outperform the market. Additionally American Airlines Group Inc has an alpha of 0.33449326875000013 implying that it can potentially generate 0.33449326875000013% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
Odds to drop to $ 50.57  or more in 30 days
 American Airlines Price Density 
Current Price   Target Price   
Alpha over DOW
Beta against DOW=0.39
Overall volatility
Information ratio =0.38