American Airlines Probability of Target Price Finishing Over 50.57275

American Airlines Group Inc -- USA Stock  

USD 58.16  0.17  0.3%

American Airlines probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of American Airlines Group Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify American Airlines time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like American Airlines odds to be computed. Check also American Airlines Backtesting, American Airlines Valuation, American Airlines Correlation, American Airlines Hype Analysis, American Airlines Volatility, American Airlines History as well as American Airlines Performance
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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American Airlines Target Price Odds to finish over 50.57275

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceAbove OddsBelow Odds
 58.16 30 days 50.57  about 87.22% about 12.64%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of American Airlines to stay above $ 50.57  in 30 days from now is about 87.22%. Probability of American Airlines Group price to stay between $ 50.57  and its current price of $58.16 at the end of the 30-day period is about 85.51%.
Considering 30-days investment horizon, American Airlines Group Inc has beta of -0.8856 . This suggests Additionally American Airlines Group Inc has an alpha of 0.8573723145454546 implying that it can potentially generate 0.8573723145454546% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
87.0%
Odds to stay above $ 50.57  in 30 days
 American Airlines Price Density 
 
 Prices     
Current Price   Target Price   
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.86
β
Beta against DOW=0.89
σ
Overall volatility
=2.33
Ir
Information ratio =0.29