American Airlines Probability of Target Price Finishing Above 50.88

American Airlines Group Inc -- USA Stock  

USD 52.98  0.18  0.34%

American Airlines probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of American Airlines Group Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify American Airlines time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like American Airlines odds to be computed. Check also American Airlines Backtesting, American Airlines Valuation, American Airlines Correlation, American Airlines Hype Analysis, American Airlines Volatility, American Airlines History as well as American Airlines Performance
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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American Airlines Target Price Odds to finish below 50.88

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceAbove OddsBelow Odds
 52.98 30 days 50.88  about 72.15% about 27.61%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of American Airlines to drop to $ 50.88  or more in 30 days from now is about 27.61%. Probability of American Airlines Group price to stay between $ 50.88  and its current price of $52.98 at the end of the 30-day period is about 37.39%.
Considering 30-days investment horizon, American Airlines has beta of 0.9339 . This suggests American Airlines Group Inc market returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market benchmark goes up or down, American Airlines is expected to follow. Additionally American Airlines Group Inc has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
28.0%
Odds to drop to $ 50.88  or more in 30 days
 American Airlines Price Density 
 
 Prices     
Current Price   Target Price   
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.21
β
Beta against DOW=0.93
σ
Overall volatility
=2.14
Ir
Information ratio =0.08