Atlas Air Worldwide Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 69.1
| AAWWDelisted Stock | USD 102.48 0.00 0.00% |
Atlas |
Atlas Air Target Price Odds to finish over 69.1
The tendency of Atlas Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 69.10 in 90 days |
| 102.48 | 90 days | 69.10 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Atlas Air to stay above $ 69.10 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Atlas Air Worldwide probability density function shows the probability of Atlas Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Atlas Air Worldwide price to stay between $ 69.10 and its current price of $102.48 at the end of the 90-day period is about 89.35 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Atlas Air Worldwide has a beta of -0.0579. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Atlas Air are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Atlas Air Worldwide is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Atlas Air Worldwide has an alpha of 0.0235, implying that it can generate a 0.0235 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Atlas Air Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Atlas Air
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Atlas Air Worldwide. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Atlas Air's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Atlas Air Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Atlas Air is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Atlas Air's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Atlas Air Worldwide, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Atlas Air within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.88 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
Atlas Air Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Atlas Air for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Atlas Air Worldwide can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Atlas Air Worldwide is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Atlas Air Worldwide has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company currently holds 1.86 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.79, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Atlas Air Worldwide has a current ratio of 0.84, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Atlas Air until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Atlas Air's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Atlas Air Worldwide sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Atlas to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Atlas Air's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Over 99.0% of Atlas Air shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Atlas Air Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Atlas Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Atlas Air's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Atlas Air's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 34.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 763.3 M |
Atlas Air Technical Analysis
Atlas Air's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Atlas Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Atlas Air Worldwide. In general, you should focus on analyzing Atlas Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Atlas Air Predictive Forecast Models
Atlas Air's time-series forecasting models is one of many Atlas Air's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Atlas Air's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Atlas Air Worldwide
Checking the ongoing alerts about Atlas Air for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Atlas Air Worldwide help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Atlas Air Worldwide is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Atlas Air Worldwide has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company currently holds 1.86 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.79, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Atlas Air Worldwide has a current ratio of 0.84, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Atlas Air until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Atlas Air's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Atlas Air Worldwide sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Atlas to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Atlas Air's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Over 99.0% of Atlas Air shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in housing. You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.
Other Consideration for investing in Atlas Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Atlas Air Worldwide check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Atlas Air's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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