ABB Ltd ADR Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 21.26

ABBDelisted Stock  USD 39.00  0.02  0.05%   
ABB's future price is the expected price of ABB instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of ABB Ltd ADR performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.
  
Please specify ABB's target price for which you would like ABB odds to be computed.

ABB Target Price Odds to finish over 21.26

The tendency of ABB Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 21.26  in 90 days
 39.00 90 days 21.26 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ABB to stay above $ 21.26  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This ABB Ltd ADR probability density function shows the probability of ABB Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ABB Ltd ADR price to stay between $ 21.26  and its current price of $39.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 89.09 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon ABB Ltd ADR has a beta of -0.0675. This suggests as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding ABB are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, ABB Ltd ADR is likely to outperform the market. Additionally ABB Ltd ADR has an alpha of 0.1633, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   ABB Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ABB

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ABB Ltd ADR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ABB's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
39.0039.0039.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
32.5732.5742.90
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as ABB. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against ABB's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, ABB's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in ABB Ltd ADR.

ABB Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ABB is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ABB's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ABB Ltd ADR, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ABB within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.16
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.07
σ
Overall volatility
1.33
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

ABB Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ABB for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ABB Ltd ADR can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ABB Ltd ADR is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
ABB Ltd ADR has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years

ABB Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ABB Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ABB's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ABB's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.9 B
Cash And Short Term Investments4.9 B

ABB Technical Analysis

ABB's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ABB Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ABB Ltd ADR. In general, you should focus on analyzing ABB Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

ABB Predictive Forecast Models

ABB's time-series forecasting models is one of many ABB's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ABB's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about ABB Ltd ADR

Checking the ongoing alerts about ABB for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ABB Ltd ADR help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ABB Ltd ADR is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
ABB Ltd ADR has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.
Note that the ABB Ltd ADR information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other ABB's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.

Other Consideration for investing in ABB Stock

If you are still planning to invest in ABB Ltd ADR check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the ABB's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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