Adams Resources Energy Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 55.86

AE Stock  USD 27.09  0.46  1.73%   
Adams Resources' future price is the expected price of Adams Resources instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Adams Resources Energy performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Adams Resources Backtesting, Adams Resources Valuation, Adams Resources Correlation, Adams Resources Hype Analysis, Adams Resources Volatility, Adams Resources History as well as Adams Resources Performance.
  
At present, Adams Resources' Price Book Value Ratio is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price To Free Cash Flows Ratio is expected to grow to 3.79, whereas Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is projected to grow to (3.29). Please specify Adams Resources' target price for which you would like Adams Resources odds to be computed.

Adams Resources Target Price Odds to finish over 55.86

The tendency of Adams Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 55.86  or more in 90 days
 27.09 90 days 55.86 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Adams Resources to move over $ 55.86  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Adams Resources Energy probability density function shows the probability of Adams Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Adams Resources Energy price to stay between its current price of $ 27.09  and $ 55.86  at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.77 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Adams Resources has a beta of 0.0516. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Adams Resources average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Adams Resources Energy will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Adams Resources Energy has an alpha of 0.0545, implying that it can generate a 0.0545 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Adams Resources Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Adams Resources

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Adams Resources Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Adams Resources' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.2127.0529.89
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
24.3831.1634.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
23.9626.8029.65
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
43.6848.0053.28
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Adams Resources. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Adams Resources' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Adams Resources' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Adams Resources Energy.

Adams Resources Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Adams Resources is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Adams Resources' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Adams Resources Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Adams Resources within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.05
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.05
σ
Overall volatility
1.48
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Adams Resources Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Adams Resources for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Adams Resources Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Adams Resources has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 58.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 22nd of March 2024 Adams Resources paid $ 0.24 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Kevin Roycraft of 150 shares of Adams Resources at 27.4 subject to Rule 16b-3

Adams Resources Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Adams Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Adams Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Adams Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments45.2 M

Adams Resources Technical Analysis

Adams Resources' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Adams Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Adams Resources Energy. In general, you should focus on analyzing Adams Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Adams Resources Predictive Forecast Models

Adams Resources' time-series forecasting models is one of many Adams Resources' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Adams Resources' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Adams Resources Energy

Checking the ongoing alerts about Adams Resources for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Adams Resources Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Adams Resources has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 58.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 22nd of March 2024 Adams Resources paid $ 0.24 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Kevin Roycraft of 150 shares of Adams Resources at 27.4 subject to Rule 16b-3
When determining whether Adams Resources Energy is a strong investment it is important to analyze Adams Resources' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Adams Resources' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Adams Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Adams Resources Backtesting, Adams Resources Valuation, Adams Resources Correlation, Adams Resources Hype Analysis, Adams Resources Volatility, Adams Resources History as well as Adams Resources Performance.
Note that the Adams Resources Energy information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Adams Resources' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.

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When running Adams Resources' price analysis, check to measure Adams Resources' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Adams Resources is operating at the current time. Most of Adams Resources' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Adams Resources' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Adams Resources' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Adams Resources to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Adams Resources' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Adams Resources. If investors know Adams will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Adams Resources listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.763
Dividend Share
0.96
Earnings Share
0.08
Revenue Per Share
1.1 K
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.05)
The market value of Adams Resources Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Adams that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Adams Resources' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Adams Resources' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Adams Resources' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Adams Resources' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Adams Resources' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Adams Resources is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Adams Resources' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.