Afluente Transmisso (Brazil) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 5.2
| AFLT3 Stock | BRL 7.56 0.22 3.00% |
Afluente |
Afluente Transmisso Target Price Odds to finish below 5.2
The tendency of Afluente Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to R$ 5.20 or more in 90 days |
| 7.56 | 90 days | 5.20 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Afluente Transmisso to drop to R$ 5.20 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Afluente Transmisso de probability density function shows the probability of Afluente Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Afluente Transmisso price to stay between R$ 5.20 and its current price of R$7.56 at the end of the 90-day period is about 42.26 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Afluente Transmisso de has a beta of -0.56. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Afluente Transmisso are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Afluente Transmisso de is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Afluente Transmisso de has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Afluente Transmisso Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Afluente Transmisso
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Afluente Transmisso. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Afluente Transmisso's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Afluente Transmisso Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Afluente Transmisso is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Afluente Transmisso's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Afluente Transmisso de, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Afluente Transmisso within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.56 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.36 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Afluente Transmisso Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Afluente Transmisso for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Afluente Transmisso can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Afluente Transmisso generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 99.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Afluente Transmisso Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Afluente Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Afluente Transmisso's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Afluente Transmisso's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 63.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 54.2 M |
Afluente Transmisso Technical Analysis
Afluente Transmisso's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Afluente Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Afluente Transmisso de. In general, you should focus on analyzing Afluente Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Afluente Transmisso Predictive Forecast Models
Afluente Transmisso's time-series forecasting models is one of many Afluente Transmisso's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Afluente Transmisso's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Afluente Transmisso
Checking the ongoing alerts about Afluente Transmisso for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Afluente Transmisso help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Afluente Transmisso generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 99.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Check out Afluente Transmisso Backtesting, Afluente Transmisso Valuation, Afluente Transmisso Correlation, Afluente Transmisso Hype Analysis, Afluente Transmisso Volatility, Afluente Transmisso History as well as Afluente Transmisso Performance. Note that the Afluente Transmisso information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Afluente Transmisso's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Complementary Tools for Afluente Stock analysis
When running Afluente Transmisso's price analysis, check to measure Afluente Transmisso's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Afluente Transmisso is operating at the current time. Most of Afluente Transmisso's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Afluente Transmisso's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Afluente Transmisso's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Afluente Transmisso to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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